Fresno State vs San Diego State Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 17)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Fresno State Bulldogs 23, San Diego State Aztecs 26 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Fresno State vs San Diego State?
Final on Oct 17, 2026: Fresno State 23, San Diego State 26. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Josiah Freeman (40+ rec yds: 49), Ezekiel Avit (2+ receptions: 3). Fell short: Jayden Mandal (175+ pass yds: 141), Jayden Mandal (5+ rush yds: 0), Josiah Freeman (4+ receptions: 3), Javion Kinnard (1+ receptions: 0).
Game script
San Diego State beat Fresno State 26-23, a 3-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
Fresno State Bulldogs player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden MandalQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 208.7 | 5 of 6 | 141 | Missed |
| Jayden Mandal | 5+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 22.5 | 5 of 6 | 0 | Missed |
| Josiah FreemanWR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 71.2 | 8 of 10 | 49 | Held |
| Josiah Freeman | 4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 5.4 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Missed |
| Ezekiel AvitWR | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.8 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
San Diego State Aztecs player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javion KinnardRB | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 1.8 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
Player by player
Jayden Mandal finished with 141 passing yards, 34 short of 175+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Jayden Mandal finished with 0 rushing yards, 5 short of 5+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Jayden Mandal's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 5 of 6, 5+ rush yds in 5 of 6.
Josiah Freeman finished with 49 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Josiah Freeman finished with 3 receptions, 1 short of 4+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Josiah Freeman's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 4+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Ezekiel Avit finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Ezekiel Avit's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Javion Kinnard finished with 0 receptions, 1 short of 1+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Javion Kinnard's last 10 showed 1+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Fresno State vs San Diego State on Oct 17, 2026?
Fresno State Bulldogs 23, San Diego State Aztecs 26 (Final). San Diego State beat Fresno State 26-23, a 3-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.