Georgia Tech vs. Stanford Recap: Stanford's 24-Point Second Half
Stanford beat Georgia Tech 34-27 and had to come from behind to do it. Georgia Tech led 20-10 at halftime behind two Trelain Maddox touchdowns. Then Stanford scored 24 straight points: a field goal and three Davis Warren touchdown passes. Georgia Tech's last two drives ended in an interception and a fumble. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Justice Haynes 60+ rushing yards (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED
- Our read: Haynes was averaging 95.3 rushing yards a game and drives this offense.
- What happened: 18 carries for 107 yards, clearing 59.5 by 47.5. One 46-yard run did a lot of the work; his other 17 carries went for 61.
- Worth watching: A line well under a workhorse back's average is the right way to play him, and it left room even without the long run.
ALT: Justice Haynes 15+ rush attempts (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED
- Our read: With three receivers out and backup RB Malachi Hosley questionable, the offense would lean on Haynes. He came in with 19, 14 and 22 carries.
- What happened: 18 carries, 3.5 over 14.5.
- Worth watching: Carries are steadier than yards when the depth chart is thin. His attempts stay worth a look while Georgia Tech is this short-handed.
ALT: Alberto Mendoza 175+ passing yards (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED
- Our read: He had thrown for 237, 221 and 249 in three starts, and Stanford ranked 132nd in EPA per play allowed.
- What happened: 26 of 39 passing, 268 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, clearing 174.5 by 93.5. Georgia Tech trailed the whole fourth quarter, so he kept throwing.
- Worth watching: The number sat well under every game he had played. He has now thrown for at least 221 in all four starts.
ALT: Georgia Tech team total Over 20.5 (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED
- Our read: Georgia Tech was implied around 26, and Stanford allowed 35.7 points a game and ranked 122nd in rushing success rate allowed.
- What happened: 27 points, over by 6.5. It had 20 at halftime and got the next score on Jaiven Plummer's 23-yard touchdown catch at 9:11 of the fourth. The run game put up 163 yards.
- Worth watching: The alt number covered a slow second half. Team total overs against a defense this soft are worth another look.
ALT: Stanford +8.5 (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED
- Our read: Georgia Tech listed 12 players out, including four defensive backs and three receivers. The main line was Georgia Tech -3.
- What happened: Stanford won outright by 7, covering by 15.5.
- Worth watching: The injury list was the right thing to trust here. When a favorite is this banged up, points on the other side are worth a look.
How the game played out
Georgia Tech was outscored 24-7 after halftime, went 3-for-11 on third down and took 12 penalties for 106 yards. Warren threw for 396 yards, with Nico Brown at 98 and Caden High at 91. The teams combined for 913 yards.
Trends to watch
- Haynes had 18 carries with the receiver room thin. His attempts and low yardage alts fit that workload.
- Mendoza threw 39 times with Georgia Tech chasing. Against a defense ranked 132nd in EPA per play, his passing floor held.
- Georgia Tech's secondary was missing four players, and Stanford threw for 396. Opposing passing numbers are worth watching while that list stays long.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these terms? Read up on the alt line, the point spread and more college football recaps.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.