North Dakota State vs UNLV Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 10)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: North Dakota State Bison 7, UNLV Rebels 13 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in North Dakota State vs UNLV?
Final on Oct 10, 2026: North Dakota State 7, UNLV 13. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Jackson Arnold (5+ rush yds: 60), Jai'Den Thomas (40+ rush yds: 112), Jai'Den Thomas (1+ receptions: 2). Fell short: Jackson Williams (2+ receptions: 1).
Game script
UNLV beat North Dakota State 13-7, a 6-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
North Dakota State Bison player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson WilliamsWR | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.1 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
UNLV Rebels player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson ArnoldQB | 5+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 38.9 | 8 of 10 | 60 | Held |
| Jai'Den ThomasRB | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 77 | 9 of 10 | 112 | Held |
| Jai'Den Thomas | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.2 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Held |
Player by player
Jackson Williams finished with 1 receptions, 1 short of 2+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Jackson Williams's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Jackson Arnold finished with 60 rushing yards, clearing 5+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jackson Arnold's last 10 showed 5+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
Jai'Den Thomas finished with 112 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Jai'Den Thomas finished with 2 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jai'Den Thomas's last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 9 of 10, 1+ receptions in 9 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of North Dakota State vs UNLV on Oct 10, 2026?
North Dakota State Bison 7, UNLV Rebels 13 (Final). UNLV beat North Dakota State 13-7, a 6-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.