DARIMARKET
CFB · Game recap · Sat, Oct 24

Tennessee vs. South Carolina Recap: Tennessee Covers in a 27-24 Loss

Final · Tennessee Volunteers at South Carolina Gamecocks
South Carolina 27, Tennessee 24
Board plays on this game
4 of 5 hit. We post the misses too.

South Carolina beat Tennessee 27-24 on a Malik Orsan 48-yard field goal as time expired. Tennessee led 24-17 midway through the fourth, LaNorris Sellers tied it with a 4-yard run with 1:17 left, and Tennessee's next possession ended in a fumble. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, all on the Tennessee side.

What cashed

ALT: Tennessee +6.5 (-205 FanDuel / -222 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Tennessee would have covered +6.5 in all 7 of its games this year and 9 of its last 10. The main line was Tennessee +2.5. - What happened: Tennessee lost by 3, covering by 3.5. A three-point loss would not have covered the main +2.5, which is the whole case for buying the extra points. - Worth watching: Close road games are where alt spreads earn their price. After falling behind 14-0, Tennessee stayed within one score the rest of the way.

ALT: Tennessee over 20.5 points (-210 DraftKings / -215 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Tennessee had scored 21 or more in 6 of 7 games this year, averaging 33.1, and South Carolina had allowed 21 or more in 6 of its last 10. - What happened: Tennessee scored 24. Three second-quarter touchdowns got it to 21 by halftime, and Cooper Ranvier's 37-yard field goal early in the fourth put it at 24. - Worth watching: Tennessee got there with only 136 passing yards, leaning on 50 rushing attempts. A run-heavy plan can still clear a modest team total.

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Mike Matthews 40+ receiving yards (-250 FanDuel / -252 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Matthews had 40 or more in each of his last 5 games, averaging 62.7. - What happened: 5 catches for 47 yards, 7.5 over the line, with a 19-yard long. He also scored on an 8-yard run with 0:24 left in the half to put Tennessee up 21-17. - Worth watching: Even in a low-volume passing game he cleared 40. That steady floor is what makes the line playable.

DeSean Bishop anytime TD (-310 FanDuel / -360 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Bishop had scored in 9 of his last 10 games and in each of his last 6 on the road. - What happened: He punched in a 1-yard run at 14:12 of the second quarter for Tennessee's first points. He carried 32 times for 120 yards. - Worth watching: 32 carries is a bell-cow workload. As long as that holds, he stays in the touchdown conversation every week, though the price will stay short.

How the game played out

South Carolina jumped out 14-0 in the first quarter on a 17-yard Sellers pass to Mazeo Bennett Jr. and a 31-yard Sellers run. Tennessee scored three touchdowns in the second quarter to take a 21-17 lead into halftime. Sellers finished with 210 passing yards and 96 rushing yards, and Bennett caught 6 passes for 88 yards.

Trends to watch

  • Tennessee ran 50 times for 184 yards and held the ball for 34:12. That workload drives Bishop's touchdown and carries markets.
  • Tennessee was flagged 12 times for 90 yards, a lot of yardage to give back in a three-point game.
  • Sellers ran for two touchdowns. His rushing line deserves a look whenever South Carolina is in a tight one.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see point spreads and anytime touchdown bets, or check the college football board.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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