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Texas State vs San Diego State Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 3)

Published · Updated · College Football

This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.

Final: Texas State Bobcats 29, San Diego State Aztecs 31 (Final).

Who cleared their player props in Texas State vs San Diego State?

Final on Oct 3, 2026: Texas State 29, San Diego State 31. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Brad Jackson (175+ pass yds: 372), Brad Jackson (20+ rush yds: 80), Chris Dawn Jr. (40+ rec yds: 57), Chris Dawn Jr. (4+ receptions: 5).

Game script

San Diego State beat Texas State 31-29, a 2-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.

Texas State Bobcats player prop results

PlayerLine (last 10 before)Pre-gameActualResult
Brad JacksonQB175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 229.28 of 10372Held
Brad Jackson20+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 46.68 of 1080Held
Chris Dawn Jr.WR40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 74.99 of 1057Held
Chris Dawn Jr.4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 5.99 of 105Held

Player by player

Brad Jackson finished with 372 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Brad Jackson finished with 80 rushing yards, clearing 20+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Brad Jackson's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10, 20+ rush yds in 8 of 10.

Chris Dawn Jr. finished with 57 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Chris Dawn Jr. finished with 5 receptions, clearing 4+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Chris Dawn Jr.'s last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 4+ receptions in 9 of 10.

What's next

What was the final score of Texas State vs San Diego State on Oct 3, 2026?

Texas State Bobcats 29, San Diego State Aztecs 31 (Final). San Diego State beat Texas State 31-29, a 2-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.

What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?

For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.

More College Football player prop results

Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.

Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.