Texas State vs Texas Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Sep 5)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Texas State Bobcats 7, Texas Longhorns 59 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Texas State vs Texas?
Final on Sep 5, 2026: Texas State 7, Texas 59. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Chris Dawn Jr. (40+ rec yds: 40), Arch Manning (175+ pass yds: 305), Raleek Brown (1+ receptions: 1), Ryan Wingo (30+ rec yds: 121), Ryan Wingo (4+ receptions: 7), Cam Coleman (20+ rec yds: 70). Fell short: Brad Jackson (175+ pass yds: 150), Brad Jackson (40+ rush yds: 27), Chris Dawn Jr. (5+ receptions: 4), Raleek Brown (60+ rush yds: 34).
Game script
Texas beat Texas State 59-7, a 52-point margin. A blowout game script: the trailing team usually throws more late, while the leader runs the ball and rests starters.
Texas State Bobcats player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad JacksonQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 254 | 9 of 10 | 150 | Missed |
| Brad Jackson | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 65.3 | 8 of 10 | 27 | Missed |
| Chris Dawn Jr.WR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 84.8 | 8 of 10 | 40 | Held |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 5+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 5.8 | 8 of 10 | 4 | Missed |
Texas Longhorns player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arch ManningQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 258.4 | 8 of 10 | 305 | Held |
| Raleek BrownRB | 60+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 99.3 | 9 of 10 | 34 | Missed |
| Raleek Brown | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.8 | 10 of 10 | 1 | Held |
| Ryan WingoWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 73.7 | 9 of 10 | 121 | Held |
| Ryan Wingo | 4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.5 | 8 of 10 | 7 | Held |
| Cam ColemanWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 60.8 | 9 of 10 | 70 | Held |
| Cam Coleman | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.8 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
Player by player
Brad Jackson finished with 150 passing yards, 25 short of 175+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Brad Jackson finished with 27 rushing yards, 13 short of 40+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Brad Jackson's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 9 of 10, 40+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
Chris Dawn Jr. finished with 40 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Chris Dawn Jr. finished with 4 receptions, 1 short of 5+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Chris Dawn Jr.'s last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 5+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Arch Manning finished with 305 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Arch Manning's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Raleek Brown finished with 34 rushing yards, 26 short of 60+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Raleek Brown finished with 1 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Raleek Brown's last 10 showed 60+ rush yds in 9 of 10, 1+ receptions in 10 of 10.
Ryan Wingo finished with 121 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Ryan Wingo finished with 7 receptions, clearing 4+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Ryan Wingo's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 4+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Cam Coleman finished with 70 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Cam Coleman finished with 3 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Cam Coleman's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Texas State vs Texas on Sep 5, 2026?
Texas State Bobcats 7, Texas Longhorns 59 (Final). Texas beat Texas State 59-7, a 52-point margin. A blowout game script: the trailing team usually throws more late, while the leader runs the ball and rests starters.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.