Toledo vs Ball State Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 3)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Toledo Rockets 39, Ball State Cardinals 24 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Toledo vs Ball State?
Final on Oct 3, 2026: Toledo 39, Ball State 24. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Adjatay Dabbs (60+ rec yds: 82), Adjatay Dabbs (3+ receptions: 6), CJ Miller (30+ rush yds: 196). Fell short: CJ Miller (1+ receptions: 0), Bryson Hammer (20+ rec yds: 12), Bryson Hammer (2+ receptions: 1), Keldric Luster (10+ rush yds: 0).
Game script
Toledo beat Ball State 39-24, a 15-point margin.
Toledo Rockets player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjatay DabbsWR | 60+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 88.3 | 8 of 10 | 82 | Held |
| Adjatay Dabbs | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.5 | 9 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| CJ MillerRB | 30+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 68.8 | 9 of 10 | 196 | Held |
| CJ Miller | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.3 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Bryson HammerWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 54.5 | 6 of 6 | 12 | Missed |
| Bryson Hammer | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3 | 5 of 6 | 1 | Missed |
Ball State Cardinals player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldric LusterQB | 10+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 16 | 4 of 5 | 0 | Missed |
Player by player
Adjatay Dabbs finished with 82 receiving yards, clearing 60+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Adjatay Dabbs finished with 6 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Adjatay Dabbs's last 10 showed 60+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 9 of 10.
CJ Miller finished with 196 rushing yards, clearing 30+ rush yds. That hit rate held. CJ Miller finished with 0 receptions, 1 short of 1+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, CJ Miller's last 10 showed 30+ rush yds in 9 of 10, 1+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Bryson Hammer finished with 12 receiving yards, 8 short of 20+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Bryson Hammer finished with 1 receptions, 1 short of 2+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Bryson Hammer's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 6 of 6, 2+ receptions in 5 of 6.
Keldric Luster finished with 0 rushing yards, 10 short of 10+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Keldric Luster's last 10 showed 10+ rush yds in 4 of 5.
What's next
What was the final score of Toledo vs Ball State on Oct 3, 2026?
Toledo Rockets 39, Ball State Cardinals 24 (Final). Toledo beat Ball State 39-24, a 15-point margin.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.