Toledo vs Michigan State Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Sep 4)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Toledo Rockets 20, Michigan State Spartans 30 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Toledo vs Michigan State?
Final on Sep 4, 2026: Toledo 20, Michigan State 30. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Adjatay Dabbs (30+ rec yds: 101), Adjatay Dabbs (3+ receptions: 4). Fell short: CJ Miller (30+ rush yds: 22), CJ Miller (1+ receptions: 0).
Game script
Michigan State beat Toledo 30-20, a 10-point margin.
Toledo Rockets player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ MillerRB | 30+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 84.8 | 9 of 10 | 22 | Missed |
| CJ Miller | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.3 | 9 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Adjatay DabbsWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 81.4 | 9 of 10 | 101 | Held |
| Adjatay Dabbs | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.1 | 8 of 10 | 4 | Held |
Player by player
CJ Miller finished with 22 rushing yards, 8 short of 30+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. CJ Miller finished with 0 receptions, 1 short of 1+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, CJ Miller's last 10 showed 30+ rush yds in 9 of 10, 1+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Adjatay Dabbs finished with 101 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Adjatay Dabbs finished with 4 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Adjatay Dabbs's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Toledo vs Michigan State on Sep 4, 2026?
Toledo Rockets 20, Michigan State Spartans 30 (Final). Michigan State beat Toledo 30-20, a 10-point margin.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.