UTSA vs Texas State Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Sep 12)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: UTSA Roadrunners 31, Texas State Bobcats 26 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in UTSA vs Texas State?
Final on Sep 12, 2026: UTSA 31, Texas State 26. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Will Henderson III (50+ rush yds: 80), Will Henderson III (1+ receptions: 2), Brad Jackson (175+ pass yds: 192), Chris Dawn Jr. (40+ rec yds: 54), Chris Dawn Jr. (5+ receptions: 7). Fell short: Owen McCown (225+ pass yds: 214), Brad Jackson (40+ rush yds: 39).
Game script
UTSA beat Texas State 31-26, a 5-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
UTSA Roadrunners player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen McCownQB | 225+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 251.4 | 8 of 10 | 214 | Missed |
| Will Henderson IIIRB | 50+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 85 | 8 of 10 | 80 | Held |
| Will Henderson III | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 1.4 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Held |
Texas State Bobcats player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad JacksonQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 251 | 8 of 10 | 192 | Held |
| Brad Jackson | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 64.3 | 8 of 10 | 39 | Missed |
| Chris Dawn Jr.WR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 88.7 | 9 of 10 | 54 | Held |
| Chris Dawn Jr. | 5+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 6.1 | 8 of 10 | 7 | Held |
Player by player
Owen McCown finished with 214 passing yards, 11 short of 225+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Owen McCown's last 10 showed 225+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Will Henderson III finished with 80 rushing yards, clearing 50+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Will Henderson III finished with 2 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Will Henderson III's last 10 showed 50+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 1+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Brad Jackson finished with 192 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Brad Jackson finished with 39 rushing yards, 1 short of 40+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Brad Jackson's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 8 of 10, 40+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
Chris Dawn Jr. finished with 54 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Chris Dawn Jr. finished with 7 receptions, clearing 5+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Chris Dawn Jr.'s last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 5+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of UTSA vs Texas State on Sep 12, 2026?
UTSA Roadrunners 31, Texas State Bobcats 26 (Final). UTSA beat Texas State 31-26, a 5-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.