Washington St vs. Utah State Recap: Aggies Rally From 13 Down
Utah State came back from 13 points down to beat Washington State 17-16 in Logan on Friday night. The Cougars led 16-3 late in the 2nd quarter after three Jack Stevens field goals and a 54-yard Leo Pulalasi touchdown run, then did not score again. Grady Brosterhous hit Eli Wood for a 27-yard touchdown in the 3rd, and after a Washington State fumble, Javen Jacobs scored from 2 yards out with 6:22 left for the lead. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Utah State ML (-185 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Washington State scored 19 a game and averaged 287 yards, Utah State was at home, and the books priced the Aggies at 65-68%. - What happened: Utah State won 17-16. After taking the lead, the defense forced two three-and-out punts, and the offense ran out the last 1:43. - Worth watching: At 63 confidence, this was a long shot that landed. A 13-point deficit is a lot for a moneyline to survive.
ALT: Washington State +13.5 (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: These were two of the worst offenses in FBS, at 14.0 and 19.0 points a game, with a 43.5 total, and Utah State had 10 players out. - What happened: Washington State lost by 1, covering by 12.5. - Worth watching: Both sides of this game cashed for us because the margin stayed small. In low-scoring games between weak offenses, wide alt spreads have a lot of room.
ALT: Under 51.5 total points (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: Two 1-4 teams that scored 14 and 19 a game, with rain in the forecast for Logan. - What happened: 33 total points, 18.5 under. The teams combined for 493 yards and 8 of 33 on third down. - Worth watching: Neither team scored in the final 6:22. Alt unders with this much cushion fit games between offenses this limited.
ALT: Utah State over 13.5 team total points (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: Utah State had scored 14 or more in 8 straight home games and 9 of its last 10 overall, and the market had the Aggies near 24. - What happened: Utah State scored 17, 3.5 over. Jacobs' touchdown is what pushed it past the number. - Worth watching: This one was close. At 10 points entering the 4th quarter, the Aggies needed a late score, and a short field after the fumble gave them one.
How the game played out
Washington State had 13 penalties for 113 yards, and its last three drives ended in a fumble and two three-and-outs, one of which lost 14 yards. Caden Pinnick completed 23 of 36 passes for 156 yards. For Utah State, Brosterhous was 11 of 26 passing with 150 yards, Wood caught 6 passes for 84 yards, and Jacobs ran 15 times for 62 yards. Kian Afrookhteh hit a 48-yard field goal for the Aggies' first points.
Trends to watch
- Washington State's discipline: 13 penalties and 113 yards. Drives that stall on flags hold down team totals.
- Utah State's passing game runs through Wood: 6 catches and 84 of the 150 passing yards.
- Third downs: 5 of 19 for Washington State and 3 of 14 for Utah State. Both offenses struggle to sustain drives, which favors unders.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. Read up on the moneyline and alt line, or see the college football board.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.