DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Fri, Oct 30

Clippers vs. Timberwolves Recap: McDaniels Doubles Up in Rout

Final · LA Clippers at Minnesota Timberwolves
Timberwolves 127, Clippers 101
Board plays on this game
4 of 6 hit. We post the misses too.

Minnesota beat the Clippers 127-101. The Timberwolves won the first quarter 34-24, led 69-56 at halftime and pulled away in the second half, building a lead as large as 29. Minnesota shot 53 percent, made 18 threes and scored 62 points in the paint. LaMelo Ball led the way with 24 points and 7 assists, and Darius Garland had 24 for Los Angeles. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Jaden McDaniels 12+ points (-392 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: McDaniels had 12 or more in each of his last 10 games and all 5 this season, with steady starter minutes while Edwards is out after surgery.
  • What happened: He scored 23 on 11-of-15 shooting in 33 minutes, 11.5 over the line, and finished +22.
  • Worth watching: The price was steep, but his shot volume in this role keeps the floor high.

ALT: Jaden McDaniels 6+ rebounds (+106 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: He had cleared 6+ rebounds in 8 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20. At +106 the implied chance was 49 percent against about 69 percent from recent games.
  • What happened: He grabbed exactly 6 and added 7 assists.
  • Worth watching: A plus price on a rebound line he clears this often is the kind of spot we like. This one landed with no room to spare, so treat it as a coin flip that leans our way, not a sure thing.
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ALT: Rui Hachimura 2+ made threes (-188 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Hachimura had made 2+ threes in 8 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20. The best price of -185 implied 65 percent against about 76 percent.
  • What happened: He went 2-of-5 from deep and scored 12 in 26 minutes.
  • Worth watching: He got there on five attempts in a game the Clippers trailed most of the way. His three-point volume is the number to track.

ALT: Timberwolves over 111.5 points (-192 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Minnesota had cleared 111.5 in 9 of its last 10 and all 5 games this season. With the Wolves at -7.5 and a 223.5 total, the implied team number was about 115.5.
  • What happened: Minnesota scored 127, 15.5 over. The Wolves had 69 at halftime and 98 after three quarters.
  • Worth watching: Minnesota had 32 assists and 18 fast-break points. When the ball moves like that, the team total has a lot of room.

How the game played out

The Clippers never led by more than 3. They shot 41 percent and turned it over 17 times, and Minnesota scored 28 points off those turnovers. Keaton Wagler went 2-of-11 and finished -24.

Trends to watch

  • McDaniels took 15 shots in 33 minutes. While Edwards is out, his points line has a high floor.
  • Bones Hyland had 19 points and 8 assists in 20 minutes off the bench. That is worth watching if his minutes grow.
  • Ball took 15 threes and made 6. His three-point volume makes his made-threes line one to track.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see alt line and implied probability, or get more at /nba.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

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