Nets vs. Celtics Recap: Tatum Wins It at the Horn, Six Plays Cash
Boston beat Brooklyn 125-124 in overtime on a Jayson Tatum turnaround jumper at the horn. The Nets led for 70 percent of the night and forced overtime when Mikel Brown Jr. hit a 23-foot three with 1.0 second left in regulation to tie it at 117. Brooklyn then led 124-119 in the extra period before Boston chipped back with free throws and Tatum, assisted by Derrick White, won it from 17 feet. Tatum finished with 40 points, 18 of them at the line. Six DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Over 214.5 total points (-192 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: This total had cleared 214.5 in 8 of the last ten team games and 16 of 20 overall, and Boston had scored 134 the night before.
- What happened: Regulation alone produced 234 points, and the final landed at 249, 34.5 over the line. The teams combined for 47 made free throws, 30 of them by Boston.
- Worth watching: Buying points under a main total works best when both teams have been clearing the lower number. Here it never got close.
ALT: Julius Randle 6+ rebounds (-204 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: Randle had cleared 6+ rebounds in 8 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20.
- What happened: He played 44 minutes and grabbed 9 rebounds to go with 24 points and 4 assists. He also scored Brooklyn's first two baskets of overtime.
- Worth watching: Randle led all players in minutes. A heavy workload like that makes his rebound line worth checking, especially in close games.
ALT: Keon Ellis 2+ rebounds (-181 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: Ellis had cleared 2+ rebounds in 8 of his last 10 and 17 of his last 20.
- What happened: He had 3 rebounds and 4 assists in 25 minutes off the bench, including the assist on Brown's tying three.
- Worth watching: A low rebound number on a guard with steady minutes is a quiet angle. His scoring was cold, and the prop still cashed.
Sam Hauser 3+ rebounds (-123 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: Hauser had cleared 3+ rebounds in 9 of his last 10 and 17 of his last 20. At -123 the price implied 55 percent against about 83 percent from recent games.
- What happened: He finished with 4 rebounds in 25 minutes.
ALT: Sam Hauser 2+ made threes (-174 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: He had made 2+ threes in 9 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20.
- What happened: Hauser went 3-of-8 from deep for 11 points.
ALT: Sam Hauser 10+ points + rebounds + assists (-163 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: He had cleared 10+ PRA in 9 of his last 10 and 19 of his last 20.
- What happened: 11 points and 4 rebounds made 15, 5.5 over the line. He was on the floor for the final possession and finished +9, the best mark among Celtics who played 20+ minutes.
- Worth watching: All three Hauser lines came out of the same 25-minute night with 8 three-point attempts. When his minutes and shot volume hold, his threes, rebounds and combo lines tend to move together.
How the game played out
Brooklyn shot 17-of-50 from three and Boston only 11-of-41, so Boston made up the difference at the line, where it went 30-of-38. Michael Porter Jr. had 27 points and 12 rebounds for the Nets, and Brown scored 17 off the bench. Boston never led in overtime until the last shot.
Trends to watch
- Boston took 38 free throws, 22 of them by Tatum. Free-throw volume like that can carry a total over even on a cold shooting night.
- Hauser's minutes drive every one of his lines. Check his role before backing any of them.
- Randle played 44 minutes in a one-point game. His rebound and PRA lines get more room when the Nets stay close.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see total and alt line, or get more at /nba.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.