DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Fri, Oct 30

Nuggets vs. Suns Recap: Denver ML and Three Goodwin Lines Cash

Final · Denver Nuggets at Phoenix Suns
Nuggets 127, Suns 120
Board plays on this game
5 of 7 hit. We post the misses too.

Denver won in Phoenix 127-120. The Suns won the first quarter 37-32, but the Nuggets took a 71-67 halftime lead with a 39-point second quarter and led by as many as 13. Denver made 20 of 37 threes. Jamal Murray scored 39 and Christian Braun had 31, and each made 7 of 9 from deep. Nikola Jokic added 18 points and 10 assists. Miles Bridges led Phoenix with 24 points and 10 rebounds. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Nuggets ML (-170 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Denver had won 8 of its last 10 and Phoenix 5 of its last 10, with the Nuggets favored at -170.
  • What happened: Denver won by 7. The Nuggets led 103-93 after three quarters and held on as Phoenix won the fourth 27-24.
  • Worth watching: Denver's three-point shooting built the lead. At -170 a favorite still has to win outright, and Phoenix kept it within reach late.

Jordan Goodwin 11+ points + rebounds (-132 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Goodwin had cleared 11+ points + rebounds in 8 of his last 10 and 17 of his last 20. The best price of -127 implied 56 percent against about 78 percent.
  • What happened: 11 points and 5 rebounds made 16, 5.5 over, in 25 minutes.

ALT: Jordan Goodwin 8+ points (+113 at DraftKings): CASHED

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  • Our read: He had cleared 8+ points in 8 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20, at a plus price.
  • What happened: He scored 11 with 3 threes, 3.5 over.

ALT: Jordan Goodwin 15+ points + rebounds + assists (+142 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: He had cleared 15+ PRA in 7 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20. At +142 the implied chance was 41 percent against about 65 percent.
  • What happened: 11 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists made 21, 6.5 over.
  • Worth watching: All three Goodwin lines came from the same 25 minutes, so they rise and fall together. A box score spread across points, rebounds and assists is what makes his combo lines worth a look at plus prices.

Cameron Johnson 12+ points (-102 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Johnson had cleared 12+ points in 7 of his last 10 and 15 of his last 20, near even money.
  • What happened: He scored exactly 12 on 5-of-13 shooting in 34 minutes, and added 9 rebounds.
  • Worth watching: He landed on the number on a 2-of-8 night from three. His 34 minutes gave him enough chances.

How the game played out

Phoenix shot 49 percent, scored 50 points in the paint and had 34 assists, but it took only 11 free throws to Denver's 30. Dillon Brooks scored 22 on 9-of-12 shooting, and Devin Booker had 20 on 7-of-19.

Trends to watch

  • Murray and Braun combined to make 14 of 18 threes. That is not a rate to expect every night, so be careful chasing their three-point lines after this one.
  • Goodwin's 25 minutes produced 11 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists. His combo lines are worth tracking while that role holds.
  • Jokic had 10 assists on a night he took only 13 shots. His assist line looks steadier than his points line.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see moneyline and player prop, or get more at /nba.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

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