Nuggets vs Thunder Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 22)
Published · Updated · NBA
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Denver Nuggets 84, Oklahoma City Thunder 96 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Nuggets vs Thunder?
Final on Oct 22, 2026: Nuggets 84, Thunder 96. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Nikola Jokic (1+ threes: 1), Jamal Murray (4+ rebounds: 10), Cameron Johnson (1+ threes: 1), Aaron Gordon (1+ threes: 3), Jalen Williams (12+ points: 21), Jalen Williams (2+ assists: 3). Fell short: Nikola Jokic (20+ points: 13), Nikola Jokic (8+ rebounds: 7), Nikola Jokic (8+ assists: 5), Jamal Murray (15+ points: 6), Jamal Murray (5+ assists: 3), DeMar DeRozan (3+ assists: 0).
Game script
Thunder beat Nuggets 96-84, a 12-point margin. A double-digit final, so late minutes may have gone to the bench.
Denver Nuggets player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola JokicC · 35 min | 20+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 26.7 | 9 of 10 | 13 | Missed |
| Nikola Jokic | 8+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 12.5 | 10 of 10 | 7 | Missed |
| Nikola Jokic | 8+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 9.4 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Missed |
| Nikola Jokic | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 1 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Held |
| Jamal MurrayG · 37 min | 15+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 24 | 9 of 10 | 6 | Missed |
| Jamal Murray | 4+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 4.7 | 8 of 10 | 10 | Held |
| Jamal Murray | 5+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 6.1 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Missed |
| DeMar DeRozanG · 28 min | 3+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 5.3 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Cameron JohnsonF · 11 min | 12+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 15.6 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Missed |
| Cameron Johnson | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 2.1 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Held |
| Aaron GordonF · 29 min | 2+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 3.1 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| Aaron Gordon | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 1.2 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
Oklahoma City Thunder player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderG · 35 min | 20+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 27.1 | 8 of 10 | 17 | Missed |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 6+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 8.3 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Missed |
| Jalen WilliamsG · 33 min | 12+ pointsPoints, last-10 avg 16.3 | 8 of 10 | 21 | Held |
| Jalen Williams | 2+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 4.7 | 9 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Ajay MitchellG · 23 min | 3+ reboundsRebounds, last-10 avg 3.6 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Ajay Mitchell | 2+ assistsAssists, last-10 avg 4.6 | 9 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Alex CarusoG · 20 min | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 2.5 | 8 of 10 | 1 | Held |
| Jared McCainG · 18 min | 1+ threesThrees made, last-10 avg 2.3 | 9 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
Player by player
Nikola Jokic finished with 13 points, 7 short of 20+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Nikola Jokic finished with 7 rebounds, 1 short of 8+ rebounds. That hit rate missed this time. Nikola Jokic finished with 5 assists, 3 short of 8+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Nikola Jokic finished with 1 threes made, clearing 1+ threes. That hit rate held. Before this game, Nikola Jokic's last 10 showed 20+ points in 9 of 10, 8+ rebounds in 10 of 10, 8+ assists in 8 of 10, 1+ threes in 8 of 10.
Jamal Murray finished with 6 points, 9 short of 15+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Jamal Murray finished with 10 rebounds, clearing 4+ rebounds. That hit rate held. Jamal Murray finished with 3 assists, 2 short of 5+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Jamal Murray's last 10 showed 15+ points in 9 of 10, 4+ rebounds in 8 of 10, 5+ assists in 8 of 10.
DeMar DeRozan finished with 0 assists, 3 short of 3+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, DeMar DeRozan's last 10 showed 3+ assists in 8 of 10.
Cameron Johnson finished with 5 points, 7 short of 12+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Cameron Johnson finished with 1 threes made, clearing 1+ threes. That hit rate held. Before this game, Cameron Johnson's last 10 showed 12+ points in 8 of 10, 1+ threes in 9 of 10.
Aaron Gordon finished with 1 assists, 1 short of 2+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Aaron Gordon finished with 3 threes made, clearing 1+ threes. That hit rate held. Before this game, Aaron Gordon's last 10 showed 2+ assists in 8 of 10, 1+ threes in 8 of 10.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished with 17 points, 3 short of 20+ points. That hit rate missed this time. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finished with 3 assists, 3 short of 6+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's last 10 showed 20+ points in 8 of 10, 6+ assists in 8 of 10.
Jalen Williams finished with 21 points, clearing 12+ points. That hit rate held. Jalen Williams finished with 3 assists, clearing 2+ assists. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jalen Williams's last 10 showed 12+ points in 8 of 10, 2+ assists in 9 of 10.
Ajay Mitchell finished with 0 rebounds, 3 short of 3+ rebounds. That hit rate missed this time. Ajay Mitchell finished with 0 assists, 2 short of 2+ assists. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Ajay Mitchell's last 10 showed 3+ rebounds in 8 of 10, 2+ assists in 9 of 10.
Alex Caruso finished with 1 threes made, clearing 1+ threes. That hit rate held. Before this game, Alex Caruso's last 10 showed 1+ threes in 8 of 10.
Jared McCain finished with 0 threes made, 1 short of 1+ threes. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Jared McCain's last 10 showed 1+ threes in 9 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Nuggets vs Thunder on Oct 22, 2026?
Denver Nuggets 84, Oklahoma City Thunder 96 (Final). Thunder beat Nuggets 96-84, a 12-point margin. A double-digit final, so late minutes may have gone to the bench.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NBA player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.