DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Sat, Oct 24

Pelicans vs. Nuggets Recap: Pelicans +13.5 Holds in Denver's OT Win

Final · New Orleans Pelicans at Denver Nuggets
Nuggets 141, Pelicans 135
Board plays on this game
5 of 8 hit. We post the misses too.

The Nuggets beat the Pelicans 141-135 in overtime. New Orleans scored 38 in the first quarter, led 73-57 at halftime and was up 108-89 after three. Denver then won the fourth quarter 37-18, tied it 126-126 on Jamal Murray free throws with 16.8 seconds left, and outscored New Orleans 15-9 in overtime. Murray scored 42 with 8 of 16 from three. Nikola Jokic had 35 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists in 44 minutes. The Pelicans scored 70 points in the paint. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Pelicans +13.5 (-149 at DraftKings / -150 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: New Orleans had covered +13.5 in 4 of its last 5, 8 of its last 10 and both games this season. - What happened: The Pelicans lost by 6 in overtime, so +13.5 covered by 7.5. They built a lead as large as 23 and led for 83 percent of the game. - Worth watching: Even after Denver's comeback, the cushion held with room left. A wide alt number paid off in a game that swung hard late.

Zion Williamson 2+ assists (-430 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: An easy alt rung. Zion cleared 2+ assists in each of his last 10 and last 5, and in both games this season. - What happened: He finished with 2 assists in 33 minutes, 0.5 over the 1.5 line. - Worth watching: It cashed with no margin. At -430 the price leaves very little value, so this rung works better as a parlay leg than as a standalone play.

Trey Murphy III 4+ rebounds (-288 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: An easy alt rung. Murphy cleared 4+ rebounds in each of his last 10 and last 5, and in both games this season. - What happened: He grabbed 6 rebounds in 37 minutes, 2.5 over the 3.5 line. He also scored 26 on 10 of 17 shooting with 4 threes and had 4 assists. - Worth watching: At 37 minutes he is on the floor enough to clear a low rebound bar. The 4+ rung looks steady while that workload holds.

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Zion Williamson 15+ points (-263 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: An easy alt rung. Zion cleared 15+ points in 9 of his last 10 and 4 of his last 5, and in both games this season. - What happened: He scored 17 on 7 of 11 shooting with 3 of 5 free throws in 33 minutes, 2.5 over the 14.5 line. His 16-foot pull-up with 1:19 left in regulation made it 126-119. - Worth watching: He was efficient at 7 of 11 from the field. Volume is the thing to track, since 11 shots left only a small margin on this rung.

Christian Braun under 1.5 threes (-131 DraftKings / -136 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Braun had made 0 or 1 three in each of his last 5, 8 of his last 10 and his one game this season. He attacks the basket in Denver's offense more than he shoots from deep. - What happened: He went 0 of 3 from three, 1.5 under the line. He still scored 15 on 7 of 11 shooting with 8 rebounds in 40 minutes and finished +15. - Worth watching: His points came inside the arc even in 40 minutes. The under stays worth a look while his three-point attempts stay this low.

How the game played out

The Pelicans led by 19 entering the fourth, but Denver outscored them by 19 in the quarter. Trevon Brazile hit two threes early in the fourth and scored 17 in all. Murray tied the game at the line with 16.8 seconds left, and Jokic scored 8 points in overtime.

Trends to watch

  • Denver shot 39 free throws to 30 for New Orleans. Murray and Jokic went a combined 18 of 21 at the line.
  • New Orleans had 70 points in the paint to 56 for Denver. Pelicans scoring props that lean on the interior are worth watching.
  • Jokic played 44 minutes and Murray played 43 in an overtime game. Heavy minutes like that are worth checking before the next slate.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about point spreads and alt lines, or see today's NBA board.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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