DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Mon, Oct 26

Suns vs. Thunder Recap: OKC Covers as 11 Plays Cash

Final · Phoenix Suns at Oklahoma City Thunder
Thunder 125, Suns 114
Board plays on this game
11 of 13 hit. We post the misses too.

Oklahoma City beat Phoenix 125-114 at home. The Thunder led for 98 percent of the game, went up 67-53 at the half and stretched the lead to 22. Ajay Mitchell scored 30 in 25 minutes and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander added 26. Phoenix won the fourth quarter 29-26, and Jalen Green led the Suns with 20. Eleven DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, with most of them on the Phoenix side.

What cashed

ALT: Thunder -6.5 (-193 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: The main was Thunder -10.5, so the alt took 4 points off. OKC had won 8 of its last 10.
  • What happened: An 11-point win, 4.5 clear of the alt.
  • Worth watching: The main number would have covered by a half point. The alt was there in case Phoenix closed the gap late.

ALT: Over 214.5 total points (-199 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: The main total was 220.5, so the alt bought 6 points. These teams had cleared 207.5 combined in 17 of their last 20.
  • What happened: 239 total points, 24.5 over. Both teams scored 32 in the third quarter.
  • Worth watching: The cushion was never in play. Alt overs on pairings that keep clearing a lower number remain a staple.

ALT: Suns over 104.5 points (-130 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Phoenix had gone over 104.5 in 8 of its last 10 and scored 131 on Saturday. The Suns were rested and OKC was on the second night of a back-to-back.
  • What happened: 114 points, 9.5 over, even in a game Phoenix trailed almost the whole way.
  • Worth watching: Trailing teams keep shooting. Phoenix took 50 threes and made 18.

ALT: Jalen Green 12+ points (-260 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: 12+ in 9 of his last 10 and each of his last 5.
  • What happened: 20 points on 8-of-13 shooting in 31 minutes.
  • Worth watching: An efficient night with room to spare.

ALT: Jalen Green 3+ rebounds (-221 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: 3+ boards in 8 of his last 10 and each of his last 5.
  • What happened: 4 rebounds.
  • Worth watching: A low floor that has held, though the price is steep.
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Jalen Green 18+ points + rebounds (-122 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: 18+ in 8 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20.
  • What happened: 20 points and 4 rebounds for 24.
  • Worth watching: His scoring alone covered most of the number.

ALT: Jalen Green 25+ points + rebounds + assists (+149 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: He had cleared 25+ in 6 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20. At +149 the price implied about 40 percent against roughly 63 percent from recent games, so this was a long shot.
  • What happened: 20 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for 28, 3.5 over.
  • Worth watching: Plus-money combo alts on a player who clears them more often than not are the kind of price we look for.

ALT: Jordan Goodwin 8+ points (+138 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: 8+ in 8 of his last 10 and 12 of his last 20. The +138 price implied about 42 percent against roughly 67 percent from recent games.
  • What happened: 12 points in 17 minutes, all on threes: 4-of-8 from deep.
  • Worth watching: He got there in limited minutes. His points come from three-point volume.

Jordan Goodwin 11+ points + rebounds (-102 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: 11+ in 8 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20.
  • What happened: 12 points and 4 rebounds for 16. All 4 boards were offensive.
  • Worth watching: At close to even money, this was one of the better prices of the night.

Jordan Goodwin 13+ points + rebounds + assists (-104 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: 13+ in 8 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20.
  • What happened: 12 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for 18, 5.5 over.
  • Worth watching: Combo lines give a bench player more than one way to get there.

Isaiah Hartenstein under 3.5 assists (-166 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Hartenstein had stayed under 3.5 assists in each of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10. With SGA playing and Jalen Williams out, the ball stays in the guards' hands.
  • What happened: 3 assists, with 15 points and 13 rebounds in 26 minutes.
  • Worth watching: It was close. His rebounding role is big, but he is not a main passer in this lineup.

Trends to watch

  • Mitchell's 30 points in 25 minutes stands out. His points line is worth checking while Jalen Williams is out.
  • OKC went 25-of-29 at the line. That kind of free-throw volume keeps the Thunder team total steady.
  • Goodwin played 17 minutes and still cleared three lines. If his minutes grow, his lines get more room.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see point spread and alt line, or get more at /nba.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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