Timberwolves vs. Spurs Recap: Harper and Spurs Rebounds Cash
The Spurs beat the Timberwolves 121-111 in San Antonio. Minnesota took a 61-60 lead into halftime, but the Spurs won the third quarter 33-27 and the fourth 28-23 to pull away. Victor Wembanyama carried the night with 43 points, 7 rebounds and 6 blocks, and San Antonio won the glass 49-38 and the paint 60-52. Seven DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, and most of them came from the Spurs rotation.
What cashed
Dylan Harper 5+ rebounds (-114 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Harper had cleared 5+ boards in 8 of his last 10, and the price implied about 53% against a much higher recent rate. - What happened: Harper grabbed 7 rebounds in 39 minutes, 2.5 over the line. - Worth watching: At 39 minutes his workload keeps a modest rebound line in play.
ALT: Dylan Harper 25+ points + rebounds + assists (-115 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Harper had cleared 25+ PRA in 9 of his last 10, priced near 53% implied. - What happened: He finished with 25 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists for 38 PRA, 13.5 clear of the line. He hit 9 of 17 shots and 5 of 6 at the line. - Worth watching: The scoring alone nearly covered it, so his combo lines stay on our radar while the minutes hold.
ALT: Devin Vassell 4+ rebounds (-159 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Vassell had 4+ boards in 9 of his last 10, priced at 61% implied. - What happened: He pulled down 5 rebounds in 34 minutes, 1.5 over. - Worth watching: A low rebound bar on a starter playing 34 minutes is the kind of floor we like.
ALT: Keldon Johnson 4+ rebounds (-176 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Keldon had 4+ boards in all 4 games this season, averaging 5.5 in 23 minutes. - What happened: He scored only 2 points but grabbed 6 rebounds, 3 of them offensive, in 24 minutes. - Worth watching: His rebounding held up even on a quiet scoring night, which is why the boards line was the cleaner angle.
ALT: Julian Champagnie 2+ made threes (-230 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Champagnie had 2+ threes in all 4 games, averaging 3.8 in 27 minutes. - What happened: He made 3 of 7 from deep in 27 minutes and scored 12 points, all three of his made shots coming from beyond the arc. - Worth watching: Seven attempts in 27 minutes is steady volume for a low threes line.
Jaden McDaniels 12+ points (-399 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: McDaniels had 12+ points in 10 straight games and all 6 this season. - What happened: He scored 19 points on 7 of 17 shooting in 39 minutes, 7.5 over the line. - Worth watching: He took 17 shots in 39 minutes, so the volume is there, but the price is steep.
ALT: Over 219.5 total points (-200 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: The main total was 227.5, and this profile had gone over 219.5 in 16 of the last 20. - What happened: The teams combined for 232 points, 12.5 over. They combined for 121 points in the first half and made 47 free throws between them. - Worth watching: Taking points off the main total gave this one room to spare.
How the game played out
Minnesota had six players in double figures, led by Ayo Dosunmu with 27 points and 9 rebounds and Jonathan Kuminga with 19. The Wolves forced 16 Spurs turnovers and grabbed 13 offensive rebounds to stay in it through three quarters. San Antonio answered with De'Aaron Fox hitting 8 of 10 shots for 22 points and 7 assists, and the Spurs led for 81 percent of the game.
Trends to watch
- Harper played 39 minutes and filled the box score. While that workload holds, his rebound and PRA lines are worth a look.
- Wembanyama took 34 shots, and Keldon and Vassell combined for 11 points. Their value on this night was on the glass, which is where our plays on them sat.
- Champagnie took 7 threes in 27 minutes, which keeps low made-threes lines in play.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these markets? Read up on the alt line and the player prop, or head to the NBA hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.