Chiefs vs Raiders Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 4)
Published · Updated · NFL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Kansas City Chiefs 30, Las Vegas Raiders 27 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Chiefs vs Raiders?
Final on Oct 4, 2026: Chiefs 30, Raiders 27. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Patrick Mahomes (175+ pass yds: 225), Kenneth Walker III (60+ rush yds: 177), Travis Kelce (2+ receptions: 2), Xavier Worthy (20+ rec yds: 70), Xavier Worthy (2+ receptions: 4), Kirk Cousins (150+ pass yds: 365). Fell short: Patrick Mahomes (5+ rush yds: 0), Kenneth Walker III (2+ receptions: 1).
Game script
Chiefs beat Raiders 30-27, a 3-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
Kansas City Chiefs player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick MahomesQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 259.9 | 9 of 10 | 225 | Held |
| Patrick Mahomes | 5+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 21.3 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Kenneth Walker IIIRB | 60+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 93.8 | 8 of 10 | 177 | Held |
| Kenneth Walker III | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
| Travis KelceTE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Xavier WorthyWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 33.9 | 8 of 10 | 70 | Held |
| Xavier Worthy | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.8 | 9 of 10 | 4 | Held |
Las Vegas Raiders player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kirk CousinsQB | 150+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 213.2 | 9 of 10 | 365 | Held |
| Ashton JeantyRB | 30+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 62.7 | 10 of 10 | 58 | Held |
| Ashton Jeanty | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.9 | 9 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| Brock BowersTE | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 61.7 | 9 of 10 | 86 | Held |
| Brock Bowers | 4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 6 | 9 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| Tre TuckerWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 38.3 | 9 of 10 | 44 | Held |
| Tre Tucker | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3 | 9 of 10 | 4 | Held |
Player by player
Patrick Mahomes finished with 225 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Patrick Mahomes finished with 0 rushing yards, 5 short of 5+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Patrick Mahomes's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 9 of 10, 5+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
Kenneth Walker III finished with 177 rushing yards, clearing 60+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Kenneth Walker III finished with 1 receptions, 1 short of 2+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Kenneth Walker III's last 10 showed 60+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Travis Kelce finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Travis Kelce's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Xavier Worthy finished with 70 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Xavier Worthy finished with 4 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Xavier Worthy's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Kirk Cousins finished with 365 passing yards, clearing 150+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Kirk Cousins's last 10 showed 150+ pass yds in 9 of 10.
Ashton Jeanty finished with 58 rushing yards, clearing 30+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Ashton Jeanty finished with 6 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Ashton Jeanty's last 10 showed 30+ rush yds in 10 of 10, 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Brock Bowers finished with 86 receiving yards, clearing 30+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Brock Bowers finished with 6 receptions, clearing 4+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Brock Bowers's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 4+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Tre Tucker finished with 44 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Tre Tucker finished with 4 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Tre Tucker's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Chiefs vs Raiders on Oct 4, 2026?
Kansas City Chiefs 30, Las Vegas Raiders 27 (Final). Chiefs beat Raiders 30-27, a 3-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NFL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.