Jets vs. Lions Recap: Gibbs Scores 3 as Detroit Holds On
Detroit beat the Jets 31-24, but it didn't feel that easy. The Lions led 24-10 early in the fourth quarter, and the Jets tied it at 24 with 4:06 left on a Garrett Wilson touchdown and a two-point pass. Then Jahmyr Gibbs caught the go-ahead touchdown at 2:25, and the Jets fumbled on a sack on their last drive. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, all posted before kickoff.
What cashed
Lions ML (-320 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: New York was without S Minkah Fitzpatrick, TE Mason Taylor and LB Francisco Mauigoa. Detroit was only missing depth on the offensive line and one defensive back.
- What happened: Detroit won 31-24. The Lions ran for 131 yards on 30 carries, and the Jets managed 58 on 19. Detroit went 4-for-5 in the red zone and didn't turn the ball over. The Lions sacked Geno Smith five times, and the last sack forced the game-ending fumble.
- Worth watching: At -320 this belongs in a parlay, not as a single bet. A healthy favorite at home against a team missing key defenders is the profile we want for that leg.
ALT: Lions -2.5: CASHED
- Our read: Detroit was at Ford Field coming off a loss, and the main line was -6.5. We took four points of cushion instead of laying the full number.
- What happened: Detroit won by 7, so it covered -2.5 by 4.5 points. The main -6.5 covered too, by half a point. At 24-24 with four minutes left, both lines were losing, and the extra cushion is exactly why we took the alt.
- Worth watching: An alt line gives up some payout in exchange for points. In a game that swings late, that trade is worth a look.
Jahmyr Gibbs anytime TD (about -360): CASHED
- Our read: Gibbs gets Detroit's red-zone work, and Detroit was a 6.5-point home favorite against a Jets defense without Fitzpatrick.
- What happened: He scored three times: a 17-yard run in the third, a 1-yard run to start the fourth, and an 11-yard catch from Jared Goff for the winning score. He finished with 20 carries for 99 yards and 7 catches for 65 yards, 164 total yards on 27 touches.
- Worth watching: The price is steep, but he had 27 touches and three touchdowns. His workload makes this prop worth watching every week.
How the game played out
Geno Smith completed 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards and 3 touchdowns with no interceptions. Wilson had 10 catches for 107 yards, and Kenyon Sadiq had 105 yards on 7 catches. The Jets threw well all day but couldn't run (58 yards). Goff was efficient on the other side, completing 25 of 32 passes for 269 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Trends to watch
- Gibbs had 27 touches, 7 of them catches. That kind of workload makes his yardage and touchdown props worth a look every week.
- Detroit's pass rush had 5 sacks for 44 yards. A quarterback facing that front makes sack props worth checking.
- Smith threw 37 passes against 19 Jets runs. That pass-heavy mix makes his passing props worth a look.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these terms? Read up on the alt line, the anytime touchdown and the parlay, or head to the NFL hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.