Cowboys vs. Eagles Recap: Dallas Pulls Away, Four Plays Cash
Dallas beat Philadelphia 38-21 on Monday night, scoring the last 18 points of the game. The Eagles took a 21-20 lead on Makai Lemon's 4-yard touchdown catch in the third quarter, but Dak Prescott answered with a 16-yard score to CeeDee Lamb and ran in the two-point try. Brandon Aubrey's 24-yard field goal and a 2-yard Javonte Williams run closed it out. Dallas piled up 416 yards, 204 of them on the ground, and did not turn it over. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Over 37.5 total points (-280 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: Dallas games had gone over 33.5 in 10 of 10 and Philly games in 8 of 10, averaging 45.6 combined. The main total was 44.5, so 38 left a 7-point cushion even with Tanner McKee at quarterback.
- What happened: 59 total points, 21.5 over. The teams combined for 34 points in the first half alone.
- Worth watching: Alt overs built off two teams that keep clearing a lower number gave a lot of room here. The price is steep, so it works best as a leg.
ALT: Eagles over 13.5 points (-310 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: Philly had 14+ in 5 of 6 this season, Dallas had allowed 20+ in all 6, and the books still implied about 20 for the Eagles with McKee starting.
- What happened: Philadelphia scored 21, with a touchdown in each of the first three quarters. Their red zone trips went 3-for-3.
- Worth watching: The Eagles were shut out in the fourth, but they had already cleared it. Opponent team totals against this Dallas defense are worth watching.
ALT: CeeDee Lamb 60+ receiving yards (-296 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: Lamb was averaging 78.9 yards over his last 10 and 89.3 over his last 3 on 14.7 targets a game, and Philly ranked 30th against receiving yards. The main line was 78.5.
- What happened: 5 catches on 12 targets for 74 yards and 2 touchdowns, 14.5 over the alt. His long was 30.
- Worth watching: He came up short of the main line but cleared the alt with room. The target share is what keeps his floor high.
ALT: Makai Lemon 3+ receptions (-372 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: Lemon had 3+ catches in 5 of 6 games. With DeVonta Smith and Dontayvion Wicks out and McKee throwing 48 times the week before, his targets were set to go up.
- What happened: 7 catches on 8 targets for 67 yards and a touchdown, 4.5 over.
- Worth watching: The target bump showed up. While Smith and Wicks are out, his receptions and yards lines deserve a look.
How the game played out
Dallas ran it 38 times for 204 yards and converted 8 of 13 third downs. Prescott threw for 3 touchdowns, two to Lamb and one to George Pickens, and Aubrey hit field goals from 55, 27 and 24 yards. Philadelphia threw 35 passes with one interception.
Trends to watch
- Dallas ran for 204 yards. Cowboys rushing props and team totals are worth a look against defenses that struggle up front.
- Lamb drew 12 targets, in line with his recent volume. His receptions and yards stay on our radar.
- Lemon caught 7 of his 8 targets. With the Eagles short at receiver, he is the one to watch.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see alt line and total, or get more at /nfl.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.