Chiefs vs. Seahawks Recap: Smith-Njigba's 150 Yards Lead a 20-3 Win

Seattle beat Kansas City 20-3 on Sunday night, and the Seahawks controlled it from the second quarter on. Seattle out-gained the Chiefs 410 to 213, converted 11-16 on third down and held the ball for 35:51. Kansas City's only points came on a 50-yard Harrison Butker field goal late in the third quarter, and two other Chiefs drives ended in field goal tries that came up empty. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, both on Seattle receivers.

What cashed

ALT: Jaxon Smith-Njigba 70+ receiving yards (-288 at DraftKings): CASHED

• Our read: Smith-Njigba had cleared 70 receiving yards in every game this season and in 8 of his last 10, and Sam Darnold was active and starting.
• What happened: He caught 9 of 12 targets for 150 yards and a touchdown, finishing 80.5 yards past the line. His 28-yard touchdown catch from Darnold with 1:44 left in the second quarter made it 10-0, and his long gain went for 33.
• Worth watching: He drew 12 of Darnold's 28 attempts. With that kind of target share, his yardage line will keep climbing, so the value shifts to alt ladders and the price you can get on them.

ALT: Cooper Kupp 20+ receiving yards (-165 at DraftKings): CASHED

• Our read: Kupp cleared 20 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 games and 17 of his last 20. At -165 the book implied about 62%, against roughly 78% from his recent games.
• What happened: It was close. Kupp caught both of his targets for 20 yards, with a long of 11, and cleared the line by 0.5.
• Worth watching: Two targets is thin volume. This angle leans on efficiency, so the price matters more than usual. We would want a similar gap between the implied number and his recent rate before going back to it.

How the game played out

Seattle leaned on the run. Emanuel Wilson carried 24 times for 100 yards and put the game away with a 21-yard touchdown run at 3:47 of the fourth quarter. Darnold completed 20 of 28 passes, good for 257 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Patrick Mahomes completed 19 of 33, good for 165 yards and an interception, and Kansas City ran for just 50 yards on 16 attempts. Both Seattle touchdowns came from outside the red zone, where the Seahawks were 0-3, and they still won by 17, with Jason Myers adding field goals from 25 and 35 yards.

Trends to watch

• Smith-Njigba's 12 targets and 150 yards fit the profile from our pregame read. He is the focal point of this passing game when Darnold plays.
• Wilson's 24 carries show how Seattle closes games with a lead. His rushing and carry props are worth a look in spots where the Seahawks are favored.
• Seattle held Kansas City to 3-11 on third down and 213 total yards. That defense is part of the read for any Seahawks game script we look at next.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to alt ladders? Read our alt line and implied probability explainers, or get more at /nfl.