DARIMARKET
NFL · Game recap · Sun, Oct 25

Rams vs. Raiders Recap: Rams Hit 35, Corum and Kyren Williams Cash

Final · Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders
Rams 35, Raiders 21
Board plays on this game
5 of 8 hit. We post the misses too.

The Rams beat the Raiders 35-21 in Las Vegas on Sunday, and the game was effectively decided before halftime. Los Angeles scored touchdowns on four straight possessions in the first half to go up 28-3, finished 5-of-5 in the red zone and ran for 199 yards on 38 carries. Las Vegas scored twice early in the fourth quarter to make it 28-18, but the Rams answered with a 12-play, 70-yard drive. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, spread across both offenses and the Rams team total.

What cashed

ALT: Rams over 22.5 points (-215 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: LA had scored 23 or more in 8 straight road games and 8 of its last 10, averaging 27.4, and Vegas had allowed 23 or more in 7 of 10. - What happened: The Rams had 28 by halftime and finished with 35, clearing the number by 12.5. - Worth watching: Perfect red zone finishing pushed this well past the line. When the Rams face a defense that cannot stop the run, their team total stays worth a look.

Kyren Williams anytime TD (-135 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Williams had scored in 4 of 6 games this season, and the Rams were implied for about 26 points against a Vegas run defense our model ranked last. - What happened: He broke a 17-yard touchdown run with 1:19 left in the second quarter and finished with 99 yards on 16 carries, plus 2 catches for 22. - Worth watching: He shared the work with Blake Corum and still found the end zone. His touchdown price is worth checking when the Rams carry a big implied total.

Blake Corum 54+ rushing + receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Corum had cleared 54 scrimmage yards in 7 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20. - What happened: 93 rushing yards on 17 carries plus an 8-yard catch for 101 total, and a 4-yard touchdown run that put the game away in the fourth. - Worth watching: He out-carried Williams 17 to 16. If that split holds, Corum's yardage lines are worth a look near this number.

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ALT: Ashton Jeanty 3+ receptions (-280 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Jeanty had 3 or more catches in all 6 games this season and 8 of his last 10. - What happened: He caught all 8 of his targets for 61 yards, including a 15-yard touchdown from Kirk Cousins early in the fourth. - Worth watching: He managed only 15 yards on 8 carries, so the passing game carried his day. His receptions line is the better way to play him in games where Vegas trails.

ALT: Brock Bowers 60+ receiving yards (-180 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Bowers had 70 or more receiving yards in all 4 games since returning, on 9 to 14 targets, and this alt gave 11 yards of cushion off the main line. - What happened: 6 catches on 8 targets for 73 yards, with a long of 18. - Worth watching: The cushion mattered. He cleared the 70.5 main line by only 2.5, while the alt left 13.5 yards of room.

How the game played out

Matthew Stafford threw two short touchdowns to Davis Allen and an 11-yarder to Puka Nacua in the first half. The Raiders threw for 302 yards but ran for only 48, and they turned it over on downs three times. Tre Tucker's 37-yard catch and Jeanty's score opened the fourth, but two failed two-point tries kept Las Vegas from getting closer.

Trends to watch

  • Williams and Corum combined for 33 carries. Both backs' rushing props are worth a look while the Rams split the work this way.
  • Jeanty saw 8 targets and only 8 carries. His receiving lines look like the steadier play when Vegas falls behind.
  • Bowers drew 8 targets. Tight end yardage alts below his main line keep the cushion on our side.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about anytime touchdown bets and alt lines, or see today's NFL board.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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