Vikings vs Buccaneers Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Sep 27)
Published · Updated · NFL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Vikings vs Buccaneers?
Final on Sep 27, 2026: Vikings 23, Buccaneers 16. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Kyler Murray (150+ pass yds: 168), Aaron Jones Sr. (40+ rush yds: 58), Justin Jefferson (20+ rec yds: 32), Justin Jefferson (2+ receptions: 2), T.J. Hockenson (2+ receptions: 2), Bucky Irving (1+ receptions: 2). Fell short: Kyler Murray (20+ rush yds: 17), Baker Mayfield (10+ rush yds: 6), Bucky Irving (50+ rush yds: 46), Kenny Gainwell (3+ receptions: 2).
Game script
Vikings beat Buccaneers 23-16, a 7-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
Minnesota Vikings player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler MurrayQB | 150+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 163.3 | 5 of 6 | 168 | Held |
| Kyler Murray | 20+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 30.3 | 5 of 6 | 17 | Missed |
| Aaron Jones Sr.RB | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 55.4 | 8 of 10 | 58 | Held |
| Justin JeffersonWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 50.9 | 8 of 10 | 32 | Held |
| Justin Jefferson | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.4 | 10 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| T.J. HockensonTE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.1 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Held |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baker MayfieldQB | 10+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 28.3 | 9 of 10 | 6 | Missed |
| Bucky IrvingRB | 50+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 61.4 | 8 of 10 | 46 | Missed |
| Bucky Irving | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.1 | 9 of 10 | 2 | Held |
| Chris Godwin Jr.WR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 42 | 8 of 10 | 25 | Held |
| Chris Godwin Jr. | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.7 | 8 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Cade OttonTE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.1 | 10 of 10 | 3 | Held |
| Emeka EgbukaWR | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.1 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Held |
| Kenny GainwellRB | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.5 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Missed |
Player by player
Kyler Murray finished with 168 passing yards, clearing 150+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Kyler Murray finished with 17 rushing yards, 3 short of 20+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Kyler Murray's last 10 showed 150+ pass yds in 5 of 6, 20+ rush yds in 5 of 6.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished with 58 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Aaron Jones Sr.'s last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
Justin Jefferson finished with 32 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Justin Jefferson finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Justin Jefferson's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.
T.J. Hockenson finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, T.J. Hockenson's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Baker Mayfield finished with 6 rushing yards, 4 short of 10+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Baker Mayfield's last 10 showed 10+ rush yds in 9 of 10.
Bucky Irving finished with 46 rushing yards, 4 short of 50+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Bucky Irving finished with 2 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Bucky Irving's last 10 showed 50+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 1+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Chris Godwin Jr. finished with 25 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Chris Godwin Jr. finished with 3 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Chris Godwin Jr.'s last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Cade Otton finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Cade Otton's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.
Emeka Egbuka finished with 5 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Emeka Egbuka's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Kenny Gainwell finished with 2 receptions, 1 short of 3+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Kenny Gainwell's last 10 showed 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Vikings vs Buccaneers on Sep 27, 2026?
Minnesota Vikings 23, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 16 (Final). Vikings beat Buccaneers 23-16, a 7-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NFL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.