Vikings vs Saints Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 11)
Published · Updated · NFL
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Minnesota Vikings 23, New Orleans Saints 13 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Vikings vs Saints?
Final on Oct 11, 2026: Vikings 23, Saints 13. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Kyler Murray (150+ pass yds: 229), Kyler Murray (10+ rush yds: 51), Aaron Jones Sr. (40+ rush yds: 113), Justin Jefferson (20+ rec yds: 79), Justin Jefferson (2+ receptions: 6), Juwan Johnson (4+ receptions: 4). Fell short: T.J. Hockenson (2+ receptions: 1), Tyler Shough (250+ pass yds: 96), Tyler Shough (5+ rush yds: 0), Chris Olave (70+ rec yds: 46), Chris Olave (6+ receptions: 4), Juwan Johnson (30+ rec yds: 16).
Game script
Vikings beat Saints 23-13, a 10-point margin.
Minnesota Vikings player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler MurrayQB | 150+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 174.4 | 7 of 8 | 229 | Held |
| Kyler Murray | 10+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 26.9 | 7 of 8 | 51 | Held |
| Aaron Jones Sr.RB | 40+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 58.9 | 8 of 10 | 113 | Held |
| Justin JeffersonWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 48 | 8 of 10 | 79 | Held |
| Justin Jefferson | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.1 | 10 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| T.J. HockensonTE | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.2 | 9 of 10 | 1 | Missed |
New Orleans Saints player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler ShoughQB | 250+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 275.8 | 8 of 10 | 96 | Missed |
| Tyler Shough | 5+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 22.5 | 10 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Chris OlaveWR | 70+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 99 | 8 of 10 | 46 | Missed |
| Chris Olave | 6+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 7.5 | 8 of 10 | 4 | Missed |
| Juwan JohnsonTE | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 58.4 | 10 of 10 | 16 | Missed |
| Juwan Johnson | 4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.9 | 8 of 10 | 4 | Held |
| Devaughn VeleWR | 30+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 48 | 8 of 10 | 26 | Missed |
| Devaughn Vele | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.1 | 8 of 10 | 4 | Held |
| Alvin KamaraRB | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.1 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Held |
Player by player
Kyler Murray finished with 229 passing yards, clearing 150+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Kyler Murray finished with 51 rushing yards, clearing 10+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Kyler Murray's last 10 showed 150+ pass yds in 7 of 8, 10+ rush yds in 7 of 8.
Aaron Jones Sr. finished with 113 rushing yards, clearing 40+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Aaron Jones Sr.'s last 10 showed 40+ rush yds in 8 of 10.
Justin Jefferson finished with 79 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Justin Jefferson finished with 6 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Justin Jefferson's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.
T.J. Hockenson finished with 1 receptions, 1 short of 2+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, T.J. Hockenson's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Tyler Shough finished with 96 passing yards, 154 short of 250+ pass yds. That hit rate missed this time. Tyler Shough finished with 0 rushing yards, 5 short of 5+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Tyler Shough's last 10 showed 250+ pass yds in 8 of 10, 5+ rush yds in 10 of 10.
Chris Olave finished with 46 receiving yards, 24 short of 70+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Chris Olave finished with 4 receptions, 2 short of 6+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Chris Olave's last 10 showed 70+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 6+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Juwan Johnson finished with 16 receiving yards, 14 short of 30+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Juwan Johnson finished with 4 receptions, clearing 4+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Juwan Johnson's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 10 of 10, 4+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Devaughn Vele finished with 26 receiving yards, 4 short of 30+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Devaughn Vele finished with 4 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Devaughn Vele's last 10 showed 30+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Alvin Kamara finished with 2 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Alvin Kamara's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Vikings vs Saints on Oct 11, 2026?
Minnesota Vikings 23, New Orleans Saints 13 (Final). Vikings beat Saints 23-13, a 10-point margin.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More NFL player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.