DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Sat, Oct 31

Blues vs. Red Wings Recap: St. Louis Rallies, Raymond Shots Cash

Final · St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings
Blues 5, Red Wings 4
Board plays on this game
3 of 4 hit. We post the misses too.

The St. Louis Blues beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-4 in regulation, and they did it from behind. Detroit led 3-1 after Lucas Raymond scored at 13:14 of the 2nd and 4-2 after a power-play goal early in the 3rd. Then St. Louis scored three times in a 4:38 stretch of the 3rd to take the game. Detroit outshot St. Louis 28-15, but John Gibson stopped 10 of 15 shots while Joel Hofer made 24 saves on 28. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Dylan Holloway 1+ points (-104 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Holloway had cleared 1+ points in 7 of his last 10 games and 12 of his last 20. At -104 (51% implied) we had him closer to 63% from recent games. With a confidence of 63, this was a longer shot that landed. - What happened: He got there in the first 2:29. Holloway picked up an assist on Dalibor Dvorsky's backhand goal, with Justin Barron also assisting. That was his only point: 0 G, 1 A, 1 SOG, 4 hits and a +2 in 16:56 TOI, including 2:33 on the power play. He cleared the line by 0.5. - Worth watching: A near-even price on a player who keeps finding the sheet is the kind of number we like. The power-play time helps, but one assist was the whole margin, so we treat it as a price play first.

Lucas Raymond 2+ shots on goal (-330 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Raymond had 2+ shots in 12 of 13 games (3.0 per game) and in all of his last 5. We also noted Larkin, Kasper and Appleton were all out for Detroit. - What happened: Raymond put 4 shots on goal, 2.5 over the line. He also scored an unassisted wrist shot at 13:14 of the 2nd for a 3-1 lead and set up Emmitt Finnie's power-play goal at 3:29 of the 3rd. His line: 1 G, 1 A, 4 SOG in 19:18 TOI (1:41 PP). - Worth watching: He is a volume shooter on a Detroit team that put 28 shots on net. The price is steep at -330, so the edge lives in the matchup and his role, not the number.

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Alex DeBrincat 3+ shots on goal (-210 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: DeBrincat had 3+ shots in 10 of 13 games (3.7 per game) and 8 of his last 10, with 4, 2, 3, 4, 5 across his last five. We also noted Larkin was on IR for Detroit. - What happened: He finished with exactly 3 shots on goal, clearing the line by 0.5. He did not score or assist, and he was a -2 with 4 hits in 18:50 TOI, including 1:41 on the power play. - Worth watching: The volume showed up even on a night he was held off the scoresheet. A 3+ line that clears by a single shot is thin, so the price at the window matters.

How the game played out

Dvorsky opened the scoring at 2:29 of the 1st, and J.T. Compher answered at 8:13. Keegan Kolesar tipped one in 41 seconds into the 2nd, and Raymond made it 3-1. Jimmy Snuggerud cut it to 3-2 with a tip-in at 19:32 of the 2nd. After Finnie restored the two-goal lead on the power play, Pavel Buchnevich scored at 8:37 of the 3rd, Barron tied it at 12:57 and Aleksanteri Kaskimaki tipped in the winner at 13:15, just 18 seconds later.

Trends to watch

  • Detroit outshot St. Louis by 13 and still lost. Shot volume was there for the Red Wings shooters, which is what our two shot props leaned on.
  • Gibson faced only 15 shots and allowed 5. Hofer saw 28 and allowed 4. A light night of work does not always mean a quiet one for the goalie.
  • Special teams tilted Detroit's way. St. Louis came up empty on three power plays, while Detroit converted one of its two chances, through Finnie.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on the board at NHL, past games at NHL recaps, and how props work in our player prop glossary.

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