Canucks vs. Jets Recap: Pionk, Vilardi, Perfetti Shot Props Cash
The Winnipeg Jets beat the Vancouver Canucks 6-2 on Thursday, Nov 5. Winnipeg scored twice in 14 seconds early in the 1st, on an Alex Iafallo power-play tip-in at 3:49 and a Cole Koepke wrist shot at 4:03, and led 3-1 after one period. Neal Pionk and Mark Scheifele pushed it to 5-1 in the 2nd, Mario Ferraro added a sixth in the 3rd, and Brock Boeser answered late for Vancouver. Winnipeg outshot Vancouver 29-26 and went 1-for-3 on the power play, while Vancouver went 0-for-1. Stuart Skinner made 24 saves on 26 shots for the Jets, and Leevi Merilainen made 23 saves on 29 shots for the Canucks. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Neal Pionk 2+ shots on goal (-255 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Pionk had 2+ shots on goal in each of his last five games, 9 of his last 10 and 12 of 16 this season, averaging 3.0 shots a game over his last ten. We also noted Josh Morrissey was on IR. - What happened: Pionk finished with 1 goal, 3 shots on goal, 3 hits and 2 blocks in 24:31, including 3:12 on the power play. That cleared the 1.5 line by 1.5. His wrist shot at 6:52 of the 2nd, set up by Kyle Connor and Gabriel Vilardi, made it 4-1 and was his fourth goal of the season. - Worth watching: He led every Jets skater in power-play time and was second on the team in total ice time behind Dylan Samberg's 26:00. That workload keeps his shot floor high, though -255 is a steep price.
Gabriel Vilardi 2+ shots on goal (-230 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Vilardi had 2+ shots on goal in 3 of his last five, 8 of his last 10 and 12 of 16 this season, at 1.9 shots a game over his last ten. - What happened: Vilardi put 2 shots on goal and had 1 assist in 16:53, with 2:57 on the power play. That cleared the 1.5 line by 0.5. His assist came on Pionk's goal at 6:52 of the 2nd. - Worth watching: Nearly three minutes of power-play time is the core of this angle. With a 1.9-shot average over his last ten, this one lives close to the line, so price matters.
Cole Perfetti 2+ shots on goal (-330 FanDuel / -340 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Perfetti had cleared 2+ shots on goal in 15 of 16 games this season, averaging 3.1. - What happened: Perfetti had 2 shots on goal and 1 assist in 15:26, with 2:59 on the power play, clearing 1.5 by 0.5. He set up Dawson Mercer's snap shot at 14:04 of the 1st that made it 3-1. Four more of his attempts went wide of the net. - Worth watching: The attempt volume backs up the season trend even on a two-shot night. At -330 or shorter there is little room on price, so it fits best as a parlay leg.
ALT: Canucks over 1.5 team goals (-350 FanDuel / -370 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Vancouver had scored 2+ goals in each of its last five games, all of its last 10 and 16 of 17 this season. The main team total sat at 2.5 (-130 at DraftKings), so we took the alt line at 1.5. We also expected Stuart Skinner in net for Winnipeg after he started Nov 1 and Nov 3. - What happened: Vancouver scored exactly 2, clearing 1.5 by 0.5. Liam Ohgren's wrist shot at 6:51 of the 1st got the first one, and Brock Boeser's backhand at 15:09 of the 3rd cashed it. Skinner did start and made 24 saves on 26 shots. - Worth watching: Vancouver's scoring floor held even in a lopsided loss. The alt line is where this angle lives, but at -350 or shorter the breakeven rate is high.
How the game played out
The 1st period decided it. Winnipeg scored three times, including its only power-play goal, and Ohgren's goal was Vancouver's lone answer. Pionk and Scheifele made it 5-1 by 11:36 of the 2nd, and the Canucks did not score again until 15:09 of the 3rd. Merilainen allowed six goals on 29 shots, while Skinner allowed two on 26.
Trends to watch
- Winnipeg's power-play minutes went to Pionk (3:12), Perfetti (2:59), Scheifele (2:58), Vilardi (2:57) and Kyle Connor (2:55). Those minutes are what drive shot props for this group.
- Vancouver still put 26 shots on Skinner, led by Marco Rossi with 7 on goal. A team that gets that volume in a loss keeps its team-total floor in play.
- Merilainen finished with a .793 save percentage. Winnipeg also had 31 hits to Vancouver's 20 and 8 takeaways to 3.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more, check the NHL board, past NHL recaps and our guide to alt lines.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.