Golden Knights vs. Red Wings Recap: Five Shot Props Cash in a 2-1 Win
The Golden Knights beat the Red Wings 2-1 in regulation, and every goal came in the third period. Two periods went by scoreless before Anton Johansson put Detroit ahead 2:02 into the 3rd. Braeden Bowman tied it at 4:20, and Trevor Connelly scored the winner at 18:18 with 1:42 left. Vegas outshot Detroit 34-26. Neither power play scored: Vegas came up empty on three chances and Detroit on two. Carter Hart stopped 25 of 26 shots, and Daniil Tarasov made 32 saves on 34 shots. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Lucas Raymond 2+ shots on goal (-265 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Raymond had 2+ shots on goal in each of his last five and last ten games and in 15 of 16 this season, averaging 3.2 shots a game over his last ten. Our pregame notes also had Larkin on IR. - What happened: Raymond finished with 3 shots on goal in 22:13 of ice time, including 2:34 on the power play. That cleared the 1.5 line by 1.5 shots. - Worth watching: He logged big minutes and PP time again. The price is steep at -265, so the value is in the role, not the payout.
Alex DeBrincat 3+ shots on goal (-185 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: DeBrincat had 3+ shots on goal in 4 of his last five, 8 of his last ten and 13 of 16 this season, at 3.5 shots a game over his last ten. - What happened: He put 5 shots on goal in 19:43 (2:36 on the power play), tied with Jack Eichel for the most in the game and the most on Detroit. That beat the 2.5 line by 2.5. - Worth watching: His shot volume carried this one with room to spare. A 3+ line stays worth a look while he keeps getting PP minutes.
Tomas Hertl 2+ shots on goal (-160 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Hertl had 2+ shots on goal in 4 of his last five, 8 of his last ten and 13 of 17 this season, at 2.5 shots a game over his last ten, with Tarasov projected in the Detroit net. - What happened: Hertl landed exactly 2 shots on goal, clearing the 1.5 line by 0.5. He also had the primary assist on Bowman's tying goal at 4:20 of the 3rd. He played 14:26, and 4:44 of that came on the power play. - Worth watching: This one cleared by a single shot, so it was tight. His heavy PP usage is the reason to keep him on the radar.
ALT: Rasmus Andersson 2+ shots on goal (+125 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Andersson cleared 2+ shots on goal in 7 of his last 10 games and 15 of his last 20. The +125 price implied about 44%, while his recent games pointed to about 70%. - What happened: Andersson put 4 shots on goal in 18:29, beating the 1.5 line by 2.5. He also picked up an assist on Connelly's winner at 18:18 of the 3rd. - Worth watching: Plus-money on a defenseman with this kind of recent volume is the angle. Keep watching the price gap between what the book implies and what his games show.
Justin Faulk under 1.5 shots on goal (-145 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Faulk stayed under 1.5 shots in each of his last five games, 8 of his last ten and 11 of 16 this season. He plays on the second pair and PP2 only, with Seider on PP1. - What happened: Faulk logged 22:43 of ice time, 1:27 of it on the power play, and finished with 0 shots on goal. That stayed 1.5 shots under the line. - Worth watching: Even with big minutes, his shots never showed up. The under fits as long as Seider keeps the PP1 role.
How the game played out
Vegas had the better of the first period, outshooting Detroit 13-8, and Detroit pushed back with an 11-9 edge in the second. Both goalies held through 40 minutes. The third period flipped fast: Detroit scored first, Vegas answered 2:18 later, and Connelly broke the tie late at even strength. Tarasov made 8 of his saves on the penalty kill.
Trends to watch
- Detroit's top shooters got their volume. DeBrincat and Raymond combined for 8 shots on goal, and both played over 19 minutes with PP time.
- Vegas leaned on Hertl's power-play minutes (4:44), the most among the players we covered, even though the Vegas power play did not score.
- Tarasov faced 34 shots and Hart faced 26. Goalie workload ran heavier on the Detroit side in this matchup.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on the board at DARIMARKET NHL, past games at NHL recaps, and how prop lines work in our player prop glossary. For plus-money plays like Andersson's, see implied probability.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.