DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Fri, Nov 6

Ducks vs. Flames Recap: Anaheim Rallies From 3-1 Down to Win 5-3

Final · Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames
Ducks 5, Flames 3
Board plays on this game
4 of 4 hit.

The Ducks came back to beat the Flames 5-3 in Calgary on Friday night, on the second night of a back-to-back. Calgary scored three times in the 1st and led 3-1 after one, with Joel Farabee's power-play goal at 19:02 making it a two-goal game. Anaheim changed goalies for the 2nd: Lukas Dostal made 8 saves on 11 shots in the opening 20:00, and Ville Husso stopped all 10 shots he faced the rest of the way. From there it was all Anaheim. Tristan Luneau scored at 12:02 of the 2nd, Leo Carlsson tied it on the power play 55 seconds into the 3rd, Cutter Gauthier won it with a slap shot at 18:26, and Nikita Nesterenko added an empty-netter at 19:46. Anaheim outshot Calgary 29-21, and Dustin Wolf made 24 saves on 28. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Jackson LaCombe 1+ assists (-115 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: LaCombe had an assist in 13 of 16 games this season and 9 of his last 10, and he logged 33 minutes the night before in Edmonton. The back-to-back was the only knock. - What happened: 0 goals, 1 assist, 2 shots on goal and 3 blocked shots in 30:04, with 3:30 on the power play. His assist came on Luneau's goal at 12:02 of the 2nd, the one that started the comeback. Cleared by 0.5. - Worth watching: He played 30:04 on a back-to-back. A defenseman getting that kind of ice time stays in the mix for assist props.

Leo Carlsson 1+ points (-190 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Carlsson had a point in each of his last 5 games and 12 of 16 this season, with a bigger role while Troy Terry is out. - What happened: 1 goal, 1 assist in 21:45 (3:55 on the power play). He set up Luneau at 12:02 of the 2nd and scored the power-play equalizer at 0:55 of the 3rd. Cleared by 1.5. - Worth watching: Carlsson had a hand in both goals that pulled Anaheim even from 3-1 down. His point streak is built on real usage, but the price at -190 asks a lot.

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Cutter Gauthier 4+ shots on goal (-135 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Gauthier was averaging 4.1 shots a game, with 4+ in 4 of his last 5, 7 of his last 10 and 10 of 15 this season. - What happened: Exactly 4 shots on goal in 22:20 (3:44 on the power play), clearing 3.5 by 0.5. The fourth was the winner, a slap shot at 18:26 of the 3rd. At 63 confidence, this was a longer shot that landed. - Worth watching: He got there with nothing to spare. A 4+ line for a player averaging 4.1 sits right on his average, so the price is what makes it worth a look.

Leo Carlsson under 2.5 shots on goal (-148 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Carlsson had stayed at 2 shots or fewer in 14 of 16 games this season and 8 of his last 10, averaging 2.0. The Ducks were also on the second night of a back-to-back after Edmonton. - What happened: 1 shot on goal, 1.5 under the line. That one shot was his power-play goal at 0:55 of the 3rd. - Worth watching: This is a nice pairing with his points line: he produces without shooting much. A low shot total and a point can both cash on the same night, as they did here.

How the game played out

The goalie change was the swing. Calgary got 11 shots and three goals on Dostal in the 1st, then Husso faced 10 shots over the last 39:40 and allowed none. Anaheim scored four unanswered goals, including its only power-play goal on 3 chances. Calgary also scored once on 3 power plays.

Trends to watch

  • LaCombe played 30:04 one night after a heavy workload in Edmonton. His minutes held up on the back-to-back.
  • Gauthier put 4 of Anaheim's 29 shots on goal and scored the winner. The winner was his 12th goal of the season.
  • Carlsson took 1 shot but had 2 points. His value is in setting up and finishing, not volume.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More NHL on the NHL hub and in our NHL recaps. Why price matters on short favorites: implied probability.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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