Ducks vs. Golden Knights Recap: Over 4.5 and Marner Under Cash

The Ducks beat the Golden Knights 4-3 in regulation, building a 4-0 lead and then holding off a three-goal Vegas push in the 3rd. Beckett Sennecke scored with 8 seconds left in the 1st, and Anaheim added three more in the first 7:03 of the 2nd. Shea Theodore, Tomas Hertl on the power play and Braeden Bowman answered for Vegas in the 3rd, but the equalizer never came. Vegas outshot Anaheim 30-20, including 13-6 in the 3rd. Lukas Dostal made 27 saves on 30 shots for Anaheim, while Carter Hart made 16 saves on 20 shots for Vegas. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Over 4.5 total goals (alt): CASHED - Our read: The main total sat at 6.5, and we took the alt at 4.5. Anaheim allowed 3.51 goals a game last season with Dostal saving .888, and Vegas put 36 shots and 5 goals on Chicago in its opener. - What happened: Seven goals went in, 2.5 over the line. Theodore's snap shot at 4:38 of the 3rd was the 5th goal and cleared 4.5. Bowman's goal at 17:10 pushed the game past the main 6.5 as well. - Worth watching: Vegas generated 30 shots, and Anaheim scored four times on 20. When both sides can produce like that, an alt over below the main number is worth a look again, but only at a price that fits.

Mitch Marner under 2.5 shots on goal (-145 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Marner averaged 2.04 shots a game last season and stayed at 2 or fewer in 64% of his games, and he was slotted at second-line right wing for this game. At 63 confidence, this was a longer shot that landed. - What happened: Marner finished with 1 shot on goal in 22:22 of ice time, 1.5 under the line. His mark on the sheet came as a passer: he set up Hertl's power-play goal at 6:07 of the 3rd. - Worth watching: The minutes were big, with 17:26 at even strength, 3:24 on the power play and 1:32 shorthanded, yet only one shot. If he stays on the second line, the under is worth a look near -145. We pass past -150.

How the game played out

The 2nd period decided it. Alex Killorn tipped in a goal at 1:33, Jeff Malott scored on a deflection 55 seconds later at 2:28, and Leo Carlsson made it 4-0 with a snap shot at 7:03. Vegas outshot Anaheim 9-7 in that period and still lost it 3-0. In the 3rd, Theodore scored at 4:38, Anaheim was given a delay-of-game minor for an unsuccessful challenge at the same time, and Hertl converted on the power play 89 seconds later. Bowman pulled Vegas within one at 17:10, and Dostal held the rest of the way.

Trends to watch

• Vegas power play: Vegas scored once on three power plays, and Anaheim had two and did not score. Hertl put 5 shots on goal in 17:23, with 3:42 on the power play.
• Shot volume: Vegas won the shot count in every period, 8-7 in the 1st, 9-7 in the 2nd and 13-6 in the 3rd. Anaheim made its 20 shots count early.
• Goalie workload: Dostal faced 30 shots and stopped 27. Hart allowed 4 goals on 20 shots for a .800 save percentage.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more, see our NHL page, all NHL recaps and what an alt line is.