DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Tue, Oct 27

Wild vs. Mammoth Recap: Eriksson Ek Shots and Spurgeon Under Cash

Final · Minnesota Wild at Utah Mammoth
Wild 3, Mammoth 1
Board plays on this game
2 of 6 hit. We post the misses too.

Wild 3, Mammoth 1. The game was scoreless until Joel Eriksson Ek's power-play goal at 15:04 of the 2nd. Kirill Kaprizov added another power-play goal 48 seconds into the 3rd, Maxim Shabanov made it 3-0 at 11:44, and Logan Cooley scored for Utah at 18:39. Minnesota outshot Utah 30-27 and scored twice on seven power plays. Jesper Wallstedt made 26 saves on 27 shots; Karel Vejmelka made 27 saves on 30. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Joel Eriksson Ek 3+ shots on goal (+100 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Eriksson Ek had cleared 3+ shots on goal in 8 of his last 10 games and 16 of his last 20. At +100 the price implied 50%, against about 76% from his recent games. - What happened: He put 4 shots on goal in 21:21, including the power-play snap shot at 15:04 of the 2nd that opened the scoring, set up by Quinn Hughes and Kaprizov. He cleared the 2.5 line by 1.5 and logged 6:05 on the power play. - Worth watching: That power-play time on a night Minnesota drew seven power plays fed his volume. When a price sits near even money against a recent rate this high, it is the kind of gap we look for.

Jared Spurgeon under 1.5 shots on goal (-205 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Spurgeon had 1 or fewer shots in 7 of 9 games this season, 13 shots in total, and he plays off PP1 next to Quinn Hughes. - What happened: 0 shots on goal in 10:01 of ice time, with 0:13 on the power play and 2 blocked shots. He finished 1.5 under the line. - Worth watching: With almost no power-play time, his shot count depends on even-strength minutes, and those were light. The under stays worth a look while his role holds, but -205 was close to the -210 mark where we pass.

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How the game played out

Special teams decided it. Minnesota's first two goals came on the power play, with Quinn Hughes assisting on both, while Utah went without a power-play goal on four chances. Utah won 62.0 percent of faceoffs and put 27 shots on net, but Wallstedt allowed only Cooley's late goal.

Trends to watch

  • Minnesota's power play: 2 goals on 7 chances, with Eriksson Ek scoring one and Kaprizov involved in both.
  • Eriksson Ek's usage: 21:21 with 6:05 on the power play, the role behind his shot volume.
  • Wallstedt: 26 saves on 27 shots for a .963 save percentage, a strong night for Minnesota in net.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More: the NHL board, all NHL recaps and how implied probability works.

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