DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Sat, Oct 3

Hurricanes vs. Flyers Recap: Aho Sparks Carolina's OT Power-Play Win

Final · Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers
Hurricanes 3, Flyers 2
Board plays on this game
5 of 7 hit. We post the misses too.

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in overtime on Saturday, and Sebastian Aho had a hand in all three Carolina goals. Aho scored 10 seconds into the game, Philadelphia answered with even-strength goals from Owen Tippett in the 1st and Matvei Michkov in the 2nd, and Aho tied it on the power play at 4:59 of the 3rd. Shayne Gostisbehere won it with a power-play slap shot at 2:51 of overtime, set up by Jackson Blake and Aho. Carolina outshot Philadelphia 40-18 and scored twice on four power plays, while the Flyers went without a goal on their four chances. Joseph Woll made 37 saves for Philadelphia and Pyotr Kochetkov stopped 16 of 18 for Carolina. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Over 4.5 total goals (alt): CASHED - Our read: The main total sat at 5.5 with the over juiced to -135, so we took the alt line a goal lower. Carolina scored 3.61 goals a game last season and was on the second night of a back-to-back. - What happened: The game finished with 5 total goals, 0.5 over the line. It was tied 2-2 after regulation, so the overtime winner is the goal that pushed it over. - Worth watching: Taking the alt line below a juiced main total gave us the cushion here. When the over on the main number is that expensive, the alt is worth a look at the right price.

Sebastian Aho 1+ points (-155 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Aho had a point in 52 of 79 games last season (80 points), and with Carolina's top six thinner right now, he carries more of the load. - What happened: 2 G, 1 A, 6 SOG in 20:30 (4:51 on the power play). He cleared the line by 2.5 points. His first goal came 10 seconds in, his second was the power-play tying goal at 4:59 of the 3rd, and he assisted on the overtime winner. - Worth watching: He was on the ice for every Carolina goal and saw almost five minutes of power-play time. As long as he holds that role, his points prop stays in play, with price discipline.

Tyson Foerster 2+ shots on goal (-105 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Foerster had 2+ shots in 20 of 29 games last season (2.10 a game) and is playing 17-19 minutes this season. - What happened: 3 SOG in 18:43, including 5:55 on the power play, 1.5 over the line. He added 3 hits. - Worth watching: His ice time landed right in that 17-19 minute range, and the power-play minutes give him extra shot chances. On a night Philadelphia managed only 18 shots as a team, he still got to 3.

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Sean Walker 2+ shots on goal (+100 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Walker had 2+ shots in 55 of 81 games last season (2.21 a game) and is logging 19 minutes a night. - What happened: 4 SOG in 24:10, 2.5 over the line, with 3 blocked shots. Almost all of his time came at even strength (0:32 on the power play). - Worth watching: He played well past the 19 minutes we expected. A defenseman getting that much time on a team that put 40 shots on net is the kind of volume this prop needs.

Joseph Woll over 25.5 saves (-115 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Carolina led the league in shots last season (32.2 per game) and Philadelphia had allowed 41 shots per game through two starts. Woll was confirmed as the starter. - What happened: 37 saves on 40 shots (3 GA), .925 save percentage in 62:48. He cleared the line by 11.5 saves. - Worth watching: Carolina's shot volume showed up, and this one had plenty of room to spare. A goalie facing this Carolina attack is worth checking on any night the line sits in the mid-20s.

How the game played out

Philadelphia held a 2-1 lead after two periods. Carolina's power play turned it, with the tying goal early in the 3rd and the winner in overtime. Kochetkov faced only 18 shots, and the Flyers never scored with the man advantage.

Trends to watch

  • Carolina's shot volume: 40 shots on goal here, a 22-shot edge. Saves overs on goalies facing Carolina and shot props for Carolina skaters stay worth checking.
  • Aho's usage: 20:30 of ice time with 4:51 on the power play and 6 shots on goal. He is the hub of this Carolina attack right now.
  • Special teams: Carolina scored on two of four power plays and Philadelphia scored on none of its four. Both of Carolina's late goals came with the man advantage.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More NHL recaps are at /recaps/nhl, and the full board is at /nhl. New to alt lines? Read the alt line glossary entry. For more on Carolina, see our Hurricanes story.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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