Islanders vs. Wild Recap: Schaefer Wins It in OT, Three Props Cash
The Islanders beat the Wild 4-3 in overtime, and Matthew Schaefer ended it 33 seconds into the extra period. Minnesota scored first when Joel Eriksson Ek finished a wrist shot 27 seconds into the game. Schaefer tied it at 16:36 of the 1st, and Bo Horvat tipped in a power-play goal at 1:41 of the 2nd to put New York ahead. Quinn Hughes answered with a backhand at 17:21 of the 2nd. Adam Pelech made it 3-2 at 7:14 of the 3rd, Matt Boldy tied it again at 16:07, and Schaefer's wrist shot in overtime settled it. Shots were close, 26 for New York and 25 for Minnesota. The Islanders scored once on two power plays, and the Wild came up empty on three. Ilya Sorokin made 22 saves on 25 shots, and Jesper Wallstedt made 22 saves on 26 shots. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Matthew Schaefer 1+ points (-110 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Schaefer came in with a point in five straight games and in eight of his last ten, and he was playing 26 to 32 minutes a night. This was a longer shot on our confidence scale, and it landed. - What happened: Schaefer finished with 2 goals and 1 assist for 3 points, with 6 shots on goal in 30:01 of ice time, including 2:20 on the power play. That cleared the 0.5 line by 2.5. His goal at 16:36 of the 1st cashed it early, he added an assist on Horvat's power-play goal, and then he won it in overtime. - Worth watching: He played 30:01 and saw power-play time, and that kind of workload keeps points on the table most nights. At -110, a near-even price on a 1+ point line is the kind of number worth looking for.
Kirill Kaprizov 3+ shots on goal (-200 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Kaprizov had 3+ shots in nine of his last ten games and in twelve of fourteen this season, averaging 3.9 per game. - What happened: He put exactly 3 shots on goal in 21:50, with 4:55 on the power play, clearing the 2.5 line by 0.5. He also picked up an assist on the Eriksson Ek goal 27 seconds in. - Worth watching: The volume held even on a night he did not score, and 4:55 of power-play time gives him extra looks. At -200 the price is steep, so this one is about the role, not value.
Quinn Hughes 1+ assists (-165 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Hughes had an assist in eight of his last ten and twelve of fourteen this season while playing 26 to 30 minutes. - What happened: Hughes logged 33:41 of ice time, with 4:43 on the power play, and finished with 1 goal, 1 assist and 4 shots on goal. The assist came on the opening goal 27 seconds into the game, so the 0.5 line was cleared by 0.5 before the first minute was over. - Worth watching: He played more than 33 minutes and factored on two of Minnesota's three goals. As long as that usage holds, the assist angle stays worth a look.
How the game played out
Neither team led by more than one goal all night. Each side scored once in every regulation period, and the Islanders' lone power-play goal was the only special-teams marker. Both goalies faced similar volume, and the game was decided 33 seconds into overtime.
Trends to watch
- Schaefer and Hughes both played big minutes, 30:01 and 33:41, and both factored on multiple goals. Those heavy minutes kept both of them involved in the scoring.
- Kaprizov and Hughes each had more than four and a half minutes of power-play time, but Minnesota went without a power-play goal on three chances.
- New York won 56.9 percent of the faceoffs, and Minnesota had 23 giveaways to 16 for the Islanders.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more, see our NHL page, the NHL recaps and our glossary entry on the player prop.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.