Jets vs. Lightning Recap: Hagel, Connor, Perfetti Shot Props Cash

The Lightning beat the Jets 6-4 in regulation, and the second period decided it. Brayden Point opened the scoring 2:20 in, Neal Pionk tied it at 17:45 of the 1st, and then Tampa Bay scored four times in the 2nd to lead 5-1. Winnipeg pushed back with three goals in the 3rd to get within 5-4 before Pontus Holmberg's empty-netter at 18:29 sealed it. Tampa Bay outshot Winnipeg 31-21 and scored once on three power plays, while the Jets came up empty on both of theirs. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, all of them shots-on-goal props.

What cashed

Brandon Hagel 3+ shots on goal (-175 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Hagel came in averaging 4.7 shots over his last 10 games, with 3+ in eight of them, and Tampa Bay was rested since Saturday. - What happened: 5 shots on goal, clearing the 2.5 line by 2.5. He had two on Stuart Skinner in the 1st and hit the number with a tip-in at 4:56 of the 2nd. He also scored at 19:03 of the 2nd for the 5-1 lead and assisted on two more, a three-point night in 21:47 with 3:46 on the power play. - Worth watching: The volume showed up again, backed by heavy power-play minutes. At a fair price, Hagel shot props stay on our list.

Kyle Connor 3+ shots on goal (-165 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Connor had 3+ shots in 9 of his last 10 games and 11 of 12 this season, averaging 3.8 per game on 21-24 minutes. - What happened: 3 shots on goal, over the 2.5 line by 0.5. This one went late. He had one shot in the 1st and one in the 2nd, and several other attempts were blocked. His third shot was his goal at 17:12 of the 3rd, pulling Winnipeg within 5-4. He added an assist on Pionk's goal and played 19:09 with 2:52 on the power play. - Worth watching: He got there on fewer minutes than his usual range, and Tampa Bay blocked a lot of his looks. Keep an eye on his ice time and on how often his attempts actually reach the net.

Cole Perfetti 2+ shots on goal (-210 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Perfetti had 2+ shots in 9 of his last 10 games and 11 of 12 this season, averaging 2.9 per game, and came in with 2+ in five straight. - What happened: 3 shots on goal, clearing the 1.5 line by 1.5. He reached two at 6:58 of the 2nd and added another early in the 3rd. He also set up two goals, Pionk's in the 1st and Dylan Samberg's deflection at 7:00 of the 3rd, in 17:26 with 2:50 on the power play. - Worth watching: Steady shot volume plus power-play time makes this a repeatable angle. At -210 the price is steep, so it matters what you pay.

How the game played out

The 2nd was the swing period. Conor Geekie made it 2-1 at 9:43, then Anthony Cirelli tipped in a power-play goal at 15:56. John Carlson and Hagel scored 56 seconds apart late in the period, so Tampa Bay scored three goals in 3:07. Skinner left after two periods with 16 saves on 21 shots. Nico Daws stopped all 9 shots he faced in the 3rd while Samberg, Pionk and Connor scored to make it 5-4. Andrei Vasilevskiy finished with 17 saves on 21 shots.

Trends to watch

• Tampa Bay's top players logged big power-play minutes: Jake Guentzel 4:40, Point 4:19, Hagel 3:46. When the Lightning draw penalties, that time is worth tracking for shot props.
• Winnipeg's scoring ran through its top players. Mark Scheifele had three assists and Pionk scored twice on 4 shots, while Connor and Perfetti each put 3 on net.
• Winnipeg won 61.4% of faceoffs and outhit Tampa Bay 28-17, but was still outshot by 10. Winning draws did not turn into shot volume.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more, see the NHL board, all NHL recaps, and our guide to the player prop.