Jets vs. Panthers Recap: Reinhart and Jones Power Florida
The Panthers beat the Jets 5-2 on Friday night. Sam Reinhart opened the scoring on the power play at 18:15 of the 1st, Anton Lundell made it 2-0 early in the 2nd, and Seth Jones restored the two-goal cushion on another power play at 15:24 of the 2nd after Kyle Connor had answered for Winnipeg. Morgan Barron pulled the Jets within 3-2 in the 3rd, but Lundell scored twice more, the last into an empty net, to finish with three goals. Florida outshot Winnipeg 38-24 and scored 2 power-play goals on 5 chances. Nico Daws made 33 saves on 37 shots for the Jets; Akira Schmid stopped 22 of 24 for Florida.
Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Sam Reinhart 2+ shots on goal (-310 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Reinhart had 2+ shots in 12 of 13 games (3.0 per game) and 9 of his last 10. With Barkov and Marchand out for Florida and Winnipeg on a back-to-back, we expected him to stay heavy on PP1. - What happened: 4 shots on goal, 2.5 over the line, plus a goal and an assist in 19:46 (3:27 on the power play). His power-play goal at 18:15 of the 1st opened the scoring, and he set up Jones in the 2nd. - Worth watching: The volume and the PP1 role both showed up. At -310 the price is steep, so this angle works best as a parlay leg rather than a straight bet.
Cole Perfetti 2+ shots on goal (-205 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Perfetti had 2+ shots in 12 of 13 games this season and 9 of his last 10, projected on the top line with Scheifele and Vilardi. - What happened: Exactly 2 shots on goal in 18:38, including 3:37 on the power play. It cleared by 0.5, the thinnest margin of the three. - Worth watching: The minutes and power-play time were there even in a game Winnipeg chased. A 2-shot cash is a reminder that the line sits right at his floor.
Seth Jones 1+ points (-145 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Jones had a point in 8 of his last 10 and 4 of his last 5, with 15 points in 13 games on about 25 minutes a night, and Winnipeg was on a back-to-back with Daws projected in net. - What happened: 1 goal and 2 assists for 3 points in 24:16, with 3 blocked shots. His secondary assist on Reinhart's power-play goal at 18:15 of the 1st cashed it, he set up Lundell at 2:38 of the 2nd, and he scored on the power play at 15:24 of the 2nd. - Worth watching: He led Florida's skaters in ice time and was on the ice for both Florida power-play goals. That usage keeps the point prop in play at a fair price.
How the game played out
The 2nd period swung it. Florida went up 2-0, Connor cut it to 2-1 on a Jets power play, and Jones answered on the power play less than six minutes later. Winnipeg pushed back to 3-2 in the 3rd, but Lundell's goal at 13:33 restored the cushion before his empty-netter at 18:21.
Trends to watch
- Florida's power play went through Reinhart and Jones: both were on the ice for both power-play goals and logged over 3 minutes of PP time each.
- Winnipeg's power play produced one goal, from Connor, on 4 chances. Perfetti logged 3:37 of PP time, the most among the three players we cashed on.
- Daws faced 37 shots in the back-to-back spot we flagged pregame, and Lundell led Florida with 8 shots on goal. Florida's shot volume is worth tracking when the matchup sets up like this again.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. More hockey on the NHL hub, every past game in NHL recaps, and how to read a player prop.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.