Mammoth vs. Devils Recap: Over, Guenther Shots and Utah +1.5 Cash
The Utah Mammoth beat the New Jersey Devils 5-3 in regulation. Utah never trailed. Clayton Keller opened the scoring on the power play at 1:57 of the 1st, and New Jersey answered each of the first two Utah leads before the Mammoth pulled away with three goals in the 2nd period. Luke Evangelista scored twice for the Devils, both on tip-ins. Utah scored on 2 of its 4 power plays, New Jersey scored once on 5 chances, and the Devils outshot Utah 33 to 31. Karel Vejmelka made 30 saves on 33 shots, while Jake Allen stopped 26 of 31. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Over 4.5 total goals: CASHED - Our read: The main total was 6.5, so the alt over at 4.5 gave us a lot of cushion. New Jersey had allowed 8 goals in 2 games and Utah had scored 12 in 3, so we expected goals. - What happened: The teams combined for 8 goals, 3.5 over the line. The over cashed on Nick Schmaltz's power-play goal at 12:05 of the 2nd, the fifth goal of the night, and three more followed. - Worth watching: Both goalies faced more than 30 shots and the power plays produced 3 goals. When the main total sits this high, the alt over is worth a look at the right price.
Dylan Guenther 3+ shots on goal (-125 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Guenther scored 40 goals last season and put 3+ shots on goal in 65% of his games. He came in with 12 shots through 3 games this season. At 63 confidence this was a longer shot that landed. - What happened: Guenther finished with 0 goals, 1 assist and 5 shots on goal in 17:31, including 6:32 on the power play. That is 2.5 over the line. He had 1 shot in each of the first two periods, then cleared the number with a snap shot at 7:07 of the 3rd and added two more in the next 26 seconds. His assist came on Schmaltz's power-play goal at 12:05 of the 2nd that made it 3-2. - Worth watching: He logged the same 6:32 of power-play time as Keller and Schmaltz, and he also had shots go wide. That volume keeps his shots prop on our radar at a fair price.
Mammoth +1.5 puck line: CASHED - Our read: New Jersey had allowed 8 goals in 2 games and Utah had scored 12 in 3. Utah only needed to stay within one goal. - What happened: Utah won outright, 5-3, a 2-goal win that cleared the +1.5 by 3.5. The Mammoth never trailed, and Vincent Trocheck's goal at 16:52 of the 3rd restored the 2-goal lead. - Worth watching: The Mammoth scored 5 against Allen on 31 shots. When the puck line price is fair, taking the cushion with a team that can score like this is worth a look.
How the game played out
The 2nd period swung it. The teams traded goals early, with MacKenzie Weegar's backhand at 1:42 answered by Evangelista at 6:31. Then Utah's power play struck again through Schmaltz at 12:05, and Lawson Crouse added a tip-in with 57 seconds left in the period. Jesper Boqvist got New Jersey within one at 9:49 of the 3rd, but Trocheck answered at 16:52.
Trends to watch
- Guenther, Keller and Schmaltz each logged 6:32 on the power play, the most on Utah. Schmaltz had 1 goal and 2 assists, and Keller had 1 goal and 1 assist.
- Mikhail Sergachev had 3 assists, two of them on Utah's power-play goals, in 4:32 of power-play time.
- Timo Meier led New Jersey with 8 shots on goal and Jack Hughes added 5, but the Devils' two goals from Evangelista both came on tip-ins.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on our NHL board, the NHL recaps hub, and how an alt line works.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.