DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Thu, Oct 8

Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights Recap: Vegas Rallies, Wins in Shootout

Final · Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights
Golden Knights 4, Maple Leafs 3
Board plays on this game
4 of 6 hit. We post the misses too.

The Golden Knights beat the Maple Leafs 4-3 in a shootout. Toronto scored three times in the first 8:37, starting with a Jack Roslovic backhand 34 seconds in. Vegas answered with three straight: Mark Stone late in the 1st, Brett Howden 1:12 into the 2nd, and Jack Eichel on a penalty shot at 3:58 of the 2nd. Nobody scored in the 3rd or in overtime, and Vegas won the shootout. The Golden Knights outshot Toronto 43-24, and Sergei Bobrovsky made 40 saves to get it that far. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Golden Knights moneyline (-170 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Vegas came in 3-1 with 4.25 goals a game and a 31% power play, and Adin Hill was confirmed in net at home. - What happened: Vegas won 4-3 in the shootout. Down 3-0 in the 1st, the Golden Knights tied it in a span of 6:22 and then controlled the shot count, putting 21 shots on goal in the 2nd and 11 more in the 3rd. Hill made 21 saves on 24 shots, and the shootout settled it. The official final includes 1 shootout goal credited to Vegas. - Worth watching: The even-strength push was real even on a night Vegas went scoreless on four power plays. At -170 the price was inside our pass mark, which is the part to check before backing this side again.

ALT: Over 5.5 total goals: CASHED - Our read: Vegas was scoring 4.25 goals a game, and DraftKings had the main total at 6.5, so the alt at 5.5 gave us a full goal of cushion. - What happened: The official final of 4-3 counts 7 total goals, 1.5 over the line, and that is the number the play was graded on. That final includes the shootout goal credited to Vegas. The six goals scored in regulation would have cleared 5.5 on their own, and all six came before the 4:00 mark of the 2nd. - Worth watching: The two teams combined for 67 shots on goal, so chances were not scarce. An alt total a goal under the main line is worth a look when the price holds.

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Tomas Hertl 2+ shots on goal (-160 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Hertl had 14 shots in four games and averaged 2.46 a game last season. - What happened: Hertl finished with 3 shots on goal, 1.5 over the line, in 14:41 of ice time. He did not score, but the volume was there. - Worth watching: 6:12 of that ice time came on the power play, and Vegas had four of them. Heavy power-play minutes are what keep a low shot line like this in range.

Jack Roslovic 2+ shots on goal (+105 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Roslovic had 2+ shots in 65% of games last season, and he opened with 4, 2, 2 and 2 shots in four games with Toronto on 15-18 minutes a night. This was a longer shot that landed. - What happened: Roslovic put 3 shots on goal, 1.5 over the line, and scored the opening goal 34 seconds in on a backhand, with assists from Auston Matthews and Kirill Marchenko. He played 17:32, with only 0:23 on the power play. - Worth watching: He is getting his shots at even strength, not on the power play. At a plus price, steady minutes like this make the over worth tracking.

How the game played out

Toronto's fast start came on three even-strength goals, by Roslovic, Easton Cowan and Nick Paul. After that, Vegas took over. Stone got one back at 17:36 of the 1st, Howden tipped one in early in the 2nd, and Eichel converted the penalty shot after being tripped on a breakaway. From there it was Bobrovsky against a steady Vegas push, and he held until the shootout.

Trends to watch

  • Vegas outshot Toronto 21-8 in the 2nd period. Toronto managed 4 shots on goal in the 3rd and 3 in overtime.
  • Vegas drew four power plays and Toronto drew one. Neither team scored on the man advantage.
  • Bobrovsky saw 43 shots in 65:00 and stopped 40 of them for a .930 save percentage. That is a heavy workload to note for future goalie save props.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More NHL research is on the NHL hub, and past game write-ups live in NHL recaps. New to alternate totals? Start with our alt line guide.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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