Senators vs. Red Wings Recap: DeBrincat Scores Twice, Five Plays Cash

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Ottawa Senators 5-3 in regulation. Tim Stutzle opened the scoring for Ottawa at 2:44 of the 1st, but Alex DeBrincat tied it 32 seconds later and Dylan Larkin put Detroit ahead at 13:14. Viktor Arvidsson scored on the power play at 2:01 of the 2nd and Justin Faulk made it 4-1 at 4:30. Ottawa pushed back with a Drake Batherson power-play goal at 6:08 of the 2nd and a William Eklund goal at 10:30 of the 3rd to get within 4-3. DeBrincat sealed it with an empty-netter at 19:10 of the 3rd. Detroit outshot Ottawa 36-25. Samuel Ersson made 31 saves on 35 shots for Ottawa, and John Gibson stopped 22 of 25 for Detroit. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Moritz Seider 2+ shots on goal (-155 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Seider put 2+ shots on net in 67% of games last season, and with Simon Edvinsson out of the lineup we expected him to carry heavy minutes. - What happened: Seider finished with 3 shots on goal, 1.5 over the line, in 24:01 of ice time with 6:25 on the power play. He added 3 hits. - Worth watching: A defenseman logging 24 minutes with more than six minutes of power-play time gets plenty of looks from the point. That workload is the angle to track while the role holds.

Tim Stutzle 2+ shots on goal (-180 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Stutzle put 2+ shots on net in 70% of games last season and came in with 5 shots in 2 games this season. - What happened: Stutzle had 2 shots on goal, 0.5 over the line, plus 1 goal and 1 assist in 21:37 (4:46 PP). His snap shot at 2:44 of the 1st opened the scoring, and he set up Eklund's goal at 10:30 of the 3rd. - Worth watching: He cleared this one by the minimum, so the price matters. Top-line minutes and power-play time keep the floor steady, but at -180 there is not much room.

Alex DeBrincat 3+ shots on goal (-165 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: DeBrincat hit 3+ shots in 76% of games last season, averaging 3.50 a game, and we had him as a primary shooter for Detroit. - What happened: DeBrincat finished with 3 shots on goal, 0.5 over the line, and turned them into 2 goals and 1 assist in 18:45 (5:54 PP). He tied the game at 3:16 of the 1st, set up Larkin at 13:14, and scored the empty-netter at 19:10 of the 3rd. - Worth watching: Nearly six minutes of power-play time is the base of this prop. His empty-net goal counted as one of his 3 shots, so a late lead with the net empty can help this angle.

ALT: Over 4.5 total goals (alt): CASHED - Our read: Ottawa was on the second night of a back-to-back after playing in Boston, was projected to start backup Samuel Ersson, and was without top defenseman Jake Sanderson. The main total sat at 5.5 shaded to the over. - What happened: The game produced 8 total goals, 3.5 over the line. The over was clear once Faulk scored the fifth goal at 4:30 of the 2nd. - Worth watching: Ersson did start and allowed 4 goals on 35 shots. Back-to-back spots with a backup in net are worth a look on totals again.

Warren Foegele under 1.5 shots on goal (+105 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Foegele had 0 shots in both games this season while playing 12-13 minutes, and Ottawa was on the second night of a back-to-back. - What happened: Foegele finished with 0 shots on goal, 1.5 under the line, in 8:51 of ice time with no power-play time. This was a longer shot that landed. - Worth watching: His minutes dropped below the 12-13 range and he saw no power-play time. Bottom-six usage like that is what keeps a shots under in play, especially at plus money.

How the game played out

Detroit won the middle of the game. Two quick goals early in the 2nd, one on the power play and one at even strength, built a 4-1 lead before Ottawa answered on its own power play at 6:08. Ottawa got within one late, but the empty-netter at 19:10 of the 3rd closed it out.

Trends to watch

• Detroit's top power-play group got heavy usage: Seider at 6:25, Larkin and Lucas Raymond at 6:01 each, and DeBrincat at 5:54. Raymond led the team with 6 shots.
• Ottawa's top power-play forwards were Dylan Cozens and Eklund at 4:51 each, Stutzle at 4:46 and Batherson at 4:45. Batherson's power-play goal came off an Eklund assist.
• Ersson faced 35 shots on the second night of a back-to-back. Shot volume against Ottawa in those spots is worth tracking for totals.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on NHL plays, past NHL recaps, and how an alt line works.