Dream vs. Liberty Recap: Atlanta Holds On 85-83, Eight Plays Cash

The Dream beat the Liberty 85-83 in New York in Game 3 of the WNBA Semifinals. Atlanta led 25-18 after the 1st and 44-39 at the half, then fell behind 68-66 after a 29-point New York 3rd quarter. The Dream won the 4th 19-15. Jordin Canada's 4-foot basket with 1:15 left made it 83-79, DeWanna Bonner hit two free throws with 6.2 seconds left for an 85-81 lead, and Breanna Stewart's putback at the buzzer only set the final margin. Atlanta led for 76% of the game. Eight DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Jordin Canada 10+ points (-351 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Canada scored 10 or more in 9 of her last 10, with 25 and 23 earlier in this series, and Allisha Gray was questionable. - What happened: 19 points on 5-8 shooting and 8-8 at the line in 38 minutes, 9.5 over the line. - Worth watching: She got to the line 8 times. A guard who draws fouls has a steadier scoring floor than her shooting alone suggests.

Jordin Canada 6+ assists (-239 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: With Gray ruled out for Game 3, more of the creation fell to Canada. She had 6 or more assists in 7 of her last 10, including 8 in Game 2. - What happened: 11 assists and zero turnovers, 5.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Atlanta had 19 assists as a team, and Canada had 11 of them. While Gray is out, her assist number carries the most weight.

Jordin Canada 1+ made threes (-327 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: She hit a three in 8 of her last 10 and had 11 threes over her last 3 games. - What happened: One attempt from deep, one make. It cashed with no room to spare. - Worth watching: She took only one three after making 11 over her previous 3 games. At this price, a single-attempt night is the risk.

Breanna Stewart 3+ assists (-314 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Stewart dished 3 or more in 8 of her last 10 and in each of her last 7. - What happened: 6 assists to go with 26 points, and she was 13-13 at the line in 39 minutes. - Worth watching: That is 8 straight games with 3 or more assists. The price is steep, but her passing role holds up.

Angel Reese 25+ points + rebounds + assists (-326 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Reese cleared 25 PRA in 8 of her last 10, with 26 and 32 earlier in this series. - What happened: 22 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists for 34 PRA, 9.5 over the line. Five of her rebounds were offensive. - Worth watching: She has been at 26 or more in all three games of this series. The combined number gives her more ways to get there.

Angel Reese 15+ points (-166 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: She scored 15 or more in 8 of her last 10, with 17 and 23 earlier in the series. - What happened: 22 points on 7-18 shooting, 2-4 from three and 6-6 at the line, 7.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Her points came from the paint, the line and two threes. That mix makes a lower alt number like 15 easier to hold.

ALT: Over 155.5 total points (alt, worth it at -330 or better): CASHED - Our read: Four of the five meetings this season cleared 155.5, and this series had gone 174 and 199. - What happened: 168 total points, 12.5 over the alt line. The teams combined for 42 made free throws. - Worth watching: Free throws carried this one: 22-24 for Atlanta and 20-21 for New York. Playoff games with this many trips to the line push totals up.

ALT: Dream +5.5 (alt, worth it at -150 or better): CASHED - Our read: Atlanta won Games 1 and 2 and four of five meetings this season, and New York was still without Satou Sabally. - What happened: Atlanta won outright by 2, covering the alt line by 7.5. At 63 confidence, this was a long shot that landed. - Worth watching: Games 2 and 3 in this series were decided by a combined 5 points. Extra points on the side have mattered.

How the game played out

Jonquel Jones had 26 points and 14 rebounds for New York, and Sabrina Ionescu made 4 threes on 11 attempts. For Atlanta, Rhyne Howard scored 21 and Bonner grabbed 13 rebounds. The Dream turned it over 7 times to New York's 10, and the Liberty's last two possessions before the final seconds ended in a turnover and a missed shot.

Trends to watch

• Canada's usage without Gray: 38 minutes, 11 assists and 8 free throw attempts. Her assist and points props follow that role.
• Reese on the offensive glass: 5 offensive rebounds and 34 PRA. Her combined props have the most room.
• Free throws: these teams went a combined 42-45 at the line. That keeps totals in play late.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on player props, the alt line and our WNBA hub.