DARIMARKET
WNBA · Game recap · Fri, Oct 2

Wings vs. Valkyries Recap: Stokes Grabs 13, Rebound Props Cash

Final · Dallas Wings at Golden State Valkyries
Valkyries 77, Wings 73
Board plays on this game
11 of 22 hit. We post the misses too.

Golden State came from behind to beat Dallas 77-73 on Friday night. The Wings led most of the way: 19-14 after one quarter, 44-37 at the half and 59-54 after three, with a lead that reached 16. The Valkyries then won the fourth quarter 23-14 and led for only 10 percent of the game. Golden State shot 35 percent from the field but grabbed 14 offensive rebounds, and rebounds were the theme of our card. Eleven DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Kiah Stokes 5+ rebounds (-305 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Stokes had 5+ boards in 9 of her last 10, with 8 and 5 in this series, and Dallas was without Alanna Smith. - What happened: Stokes pulled down 13 rebounds (4 offensive, 9 defensive) in 35 minutes. - Worth watching: Her minutes held up in a close game, which is what this prop needs.

Kiah Stokes 6+ rebounds (-153 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: She had 6+ in 8 of her last 10, including 8 in Game 1, and the Dallas front line was thin. - What happened: The same 13-rebound night cleared this one easily. - Worth watching: With Golden State missing a lot of shots, rebound chances for Stokes were everywhere.

Kiah Stokes 10+ points + rebounds + assists (-192 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: She reached 10+ PRA in 8 of her last 10, including 12 in Game 1. - What happened: Stokes posted 6 points, 13 rebounds and 3 assists for 22. She also had 3 blocks. - Worth watching: Rebounds carry this number, so it lines up with her board props.

Jessica Shepard 8+ rebounds (-325 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Shepard had 8+ boards in 8 of her last 10, and with Alanna Smith out her frontcourt minutes stayed heavy. - What happened: She played 40 minutes and finished with 12 points and 12 rebounds, 10 of them defensive. - Worth watching: Forty minutes is the workload that makes her rebound lines worth a look.

Awak Kuier 4+ rebounds (-305 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Kuier had 4+ rebounds in each of her last 10, with 4 in both series games. She was listed probable with a right wrist issue. - What happened: She played 33 minutes and got exactly 4 rebounds, 3 of them offensive, plus 3 blocks. - Worth watching: This one landed right on the number. Watch her wrist status before playing it again.

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Kaila Charles 4+ rebounds (-177 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Charles had 4+ boards in 8 of her last 10, including 5 in Game 1 in 19 minutes. - What happened: She grabbed 6 rebounds in 28 minutes off the bench, with 10 points. - Worth watching: Her minutes jumped from Game 1, and the boards followed.

Kaila Charles 5+ rebounds (+132 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: She had 5+ in 8 of her last 10, and the Dallas frontcourt was short-handed. - What happened: The same 6 rebounds cleared this plus-money line too. We rated it at 55 confidence, so this was a long shot that landed. - Worth watching: At plus money, the higher rung is worth a look when her minutes look secure.

Janelle Salaun under 1.5 made threes (+117 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: She had made 1 or fewer threes in 6 of her last 10 and in all 4 playoff games. - What happened: Salaun played 8 minutes and hit 1 of her 2 three-point tries. Another plus-money long shot that came through. - Worth watching: Low minutes protect this under. If her role grows, re-check it.

Paige Bueckers 15+ points (-311 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Bueckers had scored 15+ in 8 of her last 10, including 21 in Game 1, and logged 43 minutes in Game 2. - What happened: She scored 17 in 38 minutes despite a 3-14 shooting night, going 10-10 at the free throw line. - Worth watching: Getting to the line gives her scoring a floor even when the shot is off.

Paige Bueckers 4+ assists (-325 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: She had 4+ assists in 8 of her last 10, and an elimination game kept the ball in her hands. - What happened: Bueckers dished 6 assists, the most on Dallas. - Worth watching: She ran the offense all night, which keeps her assist floor steady.

ALT: Valkyries over 76.5 team total points (alt, worth it at -260 or better): CASHED - Our read: Golden State scored 91, 94, 78, 104 and 93 (regulation) in its 5 games against Dallas this season, and Dallas had allowed 102 per game this postseason. - What happened: Golden State scored 77, clearing by half a point. The 23-point fourth quarter got it there. Gabby Williams led with 19, Tiffany Hayes added 18 off the bench, and Veronica Burton had 16 points, 10 rebounds and 6 assists. - Worth watching: This was much closer than the history suggested. The Valkyries shot 27-77 and made 9 threes, so it took a late push to get over.

Trends to watch

  • Golden State's offensive glass: 14 offensive rebounds, with Burton grabbing 5 and Stokes 4. On a night the Valkyries shot 35 percent, every empty trip became a rebound chance for both front lines.
  • Golden State's bench: Hayes scored 18 in 27 minutes and Charles added 10 in 28. Bench minutes this steady make their props worth a look.
  • Bueckers at the line: 10 free throw attempts on a 3-14 shooting night. Scoring props on her have a floor that does not depend on her jumper.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these markets? Read up on the player prop and the alt line, or see more at the WNBA hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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