How Injuries Change NBA Player Props: Thunder, Timberwolves and Pacers splits (Nov 4, 2026)
When a star sits, his shots, touches and minutes go somewhere. Three teams on Wednesday's NBA slate are playing without a star, and this season's ESPN box scores already show who has picked up the slack, and who has not. Here is how to use that when you read a player's numbers for Wednesday, November 4, 2026.
Thunder without Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams
Holmgren and Jalen Williams played Oklahoma City's first 3 games and have missed the last 4. Both are listed out again for Cavaliers at Thunder (8:00 PM ET).
- Ajay Mitchell: 11.3 points in 24.7 minutes with them, 21.3 points in 28.5 minutes without them. Without them he scored 30, 29, 6, 20.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 27.7 points with them, 29 without. His scoring barely moved, and he played fewer minutes, not more.
- Isaiah Hartenstein: 7.3 points with them, 10 without, in 26.3 minutes.
The lesson: the biggest jump went to the next guard in line, not the superstar. Look at who inherits the minutes.
Timberwolves without Anthony Edwards
Edwards played Minnesota's first 4 games and has missed the last 4. He is out again for Timberwolves at Rockets (8:30 PM ET).
- LaMelo Ball: 14.8 points with Edwards, 19 without (8, 24, 10, 34). The average went up, but so did the swings.
- Jaden McDaniels: 15 points with Edwards, 18.5 without, in 34 minutes.
Pacers without Tyrese Haliburton
Haliburton has missed Indiana's last 4 games and is out for Pacers at Grizzlies (8:00 PM ET).
- Andrew Nembhard: 16 points with Haliburton, 21 without (18, 22, 23).
- Pascal Siakam: 23.5 points with Haliburton, 18.7 without. Not every teammate goes up. Defenses can load up on the player who is left.
How to use an injury split
- Check the report first. ESPN updates statuses through the afternoon. A day-to-day tag on a star can change everyone's numbers.
- Use the games without him. If a star has been out for 4 games, a teammate's last 4 tell you more than his season average.
- Watch minutes, not just points. Minutes are the most stable part of a role. Points swing night to night (Ball went 8, 24, 10 and 34).
- Small samples cut both ways. Four games is a hint, not proof.
See the full Wednesday breakdown in NBA player props today, or open the Cavaliers vs Thunder preview and Timberwolves vs Rockets preview.
Every player's last 5 and last 10 are on the board: see every line at darimarket.us. Have a question about a player? Ask yours at darimarket.us/ask.
21+. Research and commentary, not betting advice. Lines and prices move, so check FanDuel or DraftKings before you tap in. If betting stops being fun, call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Made with AI from DARIMARKET data and ESPN box scores.
FAQ
How do injuries affect NBA player props? Minutes and shots shift to teammates. So far this season, Ajay Mitchell has scored 21.3 points a game without Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams, up from 11.3 with them.
Does a star's teammate always score more when the star is out? No. Pascal Siakam has averaged 18.7 points without Tyrese Haliburton, down from 23.5 with him. Check each player's games without the star.
Which stars are out on Wednesday, Nov 4, 2026? ESPN lists Anthony Edwards, Tyrese Haliburton, Chet Holmgren and Jalen Williams as out, among others. Statuses can change before tip.