Boise St vs. Fresno St Recap: Riley's 150 Yards and Two TDs Cash

Boise State beat Fresno State 38-31 behind a run game that controlled the clock. Fresno State scored first on a 10-play, 75-yard drive, but Dylan Riley answered two plays later with a 72-yard touchdown run, and Boise led 25-20 at the half after a Canaan Moore 49-yard field goal with 0:02 left. Boise held the ball for 38:56, ran for 274 yards on 45 carries and did not turn it over. Thirteen DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, all of them posted pregame.

What cashed

Boise State ML (-298 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Boise's only loss was a 7-point game at Oregon, and Madsen had been efficient every week. - What happened: Boise never trailed after Riley's first score and won by 7, with a Moore 39-yard field goal at 1:34 making it a two-score game. - Worth watching: At this price it is a parlay piece more than a standalone bet.

ALT: Fresno State +14.5 (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: Boise was thin at receiver with two WRs ruled out, while Fresno had outscored opponents 139-43 in four straight wins. - What happened: Fresno lost by 7, so the line cleared by 7.5, and the Bulldogs got within 35-28 in the fourth. - Worth watching: A home dog that scores keeps big alt spreads live; check the injury report before buying this many points again.

ALT: Boise State over 24.5 team total points (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: Boise had scored 25+ in all five games, and the market implied about 28.5. - What happened: Boise scored 38, clearing by 13.5, with three Moore field goals on top of four touchdowns. - Worth watching: A team that leads the country in time of possession keeps adding points late, which suits alt team totals.

ALT: Fresno State over 16.5 team total points (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: Fresno had scored 139 points in four straight wins and was at home, with the market implying about 20.5. - What happened: Fresno scored 31, clearing by 14.5, and already had 20 at halftime. - Worth watching: Fresno scored on five of its eight drives while holding the ball only 21:04; efficiency carried this one.

Dylan Riley 15+ rush attempts: CASHED - Our read: Riley had 15+ carries in all five games (21.6 a game), and Boise leads the country in time of possession. - What happened: He finished with 19 carries, 4.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Sire Gaines also got 20 carries, but Riley's floor has held every week.

Dylan Riley 70+ rushing yards: CASHED - Our read: 137 rushing yards a game, Boise's possession edge and a Fresno run defense ranked 73rd. - What happened: Riley ran for 150 yards, 80.5 over the line, and the 72-yard score alone cleared it. - Worth watching: Fresno allowed 274 rushing yards, so this angle is worth revisiting against similar run defenses.

Dylan Riley anytime TD (-330 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: The nation's leading rusher had 5 TDs, with 2 in each of the last two home wins, and was not on the injury report. - What happened: He scored on the 72-yard run and on a 44-yard catch from Madsen at 14:52 of the fourth that made it 35-20. - Worth watching: With 64 receiving yards, Riley scores more than one way, though this price leaves little room.

Maddux Madsen 15+ completions: CASHED - Our read: Madsen averaged 17.4 completions with no interceptions, and short-handed receivers pointed to underneath volume. - What happened: He went 23/34, 8.5 over the line, with no interceptions. - Worth watching: Nine different Boise players caught a pass, so completions held up even with two receivers ruled out.

Maddux Madsen 175+ passing yards: CASHED - Our read: Madsen had 181, 221, 208, 204 and 244 passing yards in his five starts. - What happened: He threw for 238 yards and 2 TDs, 63.5 over the line. - Worth watching: That is six straight starts over 175, which keeps this alt in range when the price fits.

Jayden Mandal 25+ pass attempts: CASHED - Our read: Mandal averaged 27.4 attempts and threw 33 times last week, and as a 7.5-point home dog Fresno should be throwing. - What happened: He threw 33 times again, 8.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Fresno ran only 16 times as a team, so attempts are a steady angle when the Bulldogs are dogs.

Jayden Mandal 15+ completions: CASHED - Our read: Mandal had hit 15+ completions in 4 of his first 5 games, and Fresno figured to keep throwing as an underdog. - What happened: He completed 19 passes, 4.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Completions track attempts, so this pairs naturally with the attempts prop.

Jayden Mandal 175+ passing yards: CASHED - Our read: Mandal had cleared 175 in 4 of 5 games, including 245 last week. - What happened: He threw for 218 yards and 2 TDs, 43.5 over the line, and added an 8-yard rushing score. - Worth watching: Fresno's 59-yard TD pass came from Khristian Martin, so Mandal got there without that play.

Josiah Freeman 40+ receiving yards: CASHED - Our read: Fresno's top receiver had 322 yards, and Mandal had thrown 29-34 times in each of the last three games. - What happened: Freeman caught 3 passes for 53 yards with a long of 25, 13.5 over the line. - Worth watching: He got there on low volume, so yardage lines suit him better than catch counts.

How the game played out

Boise's two long first-quarter drives, 13 plays for 90 yards and 18 plays for 75 yards, ate more than 15 minutes. Fresno answered with quick strikes, including a two-play, 74-yard drive capped by Ezekiel Avit's 59-yard catch. After Fresno cut it to 35-28, Boise ran 14 plays over 7:40 for the field goal that iced it.

Trends to watch

• Riley and Gaines combined for 39 carries and 270 rushing yards, so Boise's backfield can support two rushing props in one game.
• Avit led Fresno with 6 catches for 96 yards and 2 TDs, a target share worth checking next time Fresno is a dog.
• Boise ran 45 times to Fresno's 16; a team losing the possession battle this badly leans on the pass, which helps quarterback volume props.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Read up on the alt line and player prop, or see more at the CFB hub.