Boston College vs. Duke Recap: Sheppard Runs for 5 TDs in 47-2 Win

Duke rolled past Boston College 47-2 on Saturday. The Blue Devils led 27-2 at halftime and scored touchdowns on six of their first nine possessions, with Nate Sheppard running in five of them. Duke outgained Boston College 382 to 213 and held the ball for 34:00. The Eagles' only points came on a defensive two-point return after Sheppard's second score, and they converted just 2 of 13 third downs. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Nate Sheppard anytime TD (-475 at FanDuel): CASHED

• Our read: Sheppard had scored in each of his last 10 games, including all 7 this season, and had found the end zone in 9 of 10 games played outdoors, averaging 1.6 touchdowns. At a short price, we wanted the back with the steadiest scoring record on the board.
• What happened: He scored five rushing touchdowns: a 1-yard run and a 2-yard run in the first quarter, a 54-yard run in the second, then a 4-yard run and another 1-yard run in the third. He finished with 20 carries for 97 yards and added one catch for 32 yards.
• Worth watching: Four of his five scores came from 4 yards or closer. That goal-line role is the reason his touchdown streak keeps going, so his price will stay short. It is a better fit as a building block than a standalone bet at this kind of number.

ALT: Walker Eget 200+ passing yards (-132 at FanDuel): CASHED

• Our read: Eget had cleared 200 passing yards in 6 of his last 10 games and 13 of his last 18. The best price of -132 implied about 57 percent, while his recent games put it closer to 64 percent, so we saw value in the number.
• What happened: Eget completed 11 of 18 passes for 201 yards and a 5-yard touchdown to Jeremiah Hasley. That cleared the 199.5 line by 1.5. He threw only 18 passes, so the yardage got there with almost no room to spare.
• Worth watching: This was one of the lower-confidence plays on the board, and it landed by a yard and a half. In expected blowouts, passing volume can dry up late, so the game script is worth weighing before backing a passing yards line again.

How the game played out

Boston College struggled to stay on schedule. The Eagles were flagged 15 times for 129 yards and lost two fumbles in the third quarter. Duke turned short fields into points, including a 42-yard touchdown drive after the first fumble, and added field goals of 41 and 24 yards from Gavin Strange in the fourth quarter.

Trends to watch

• Sheppard handled 20 carries and every Duke rushing touchdown. His red zone workload makes him a regular anytime TD candidate.
• Eget threw only 18 passes in a game Duke controlled from the first quarter. His passing yards line depends on the game staying competitive.
• Boston College's 15 penalties and 2-13 third down rate gave Duke extra possessions. That lack of discipline is worth factoring into opponent team totals.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about the anytime touchdown market and implied probability, or check the CFB hub.