DARIMARKET
CFB · Game recap · Thu, Oct 15

Colorado St vs. Texas St Recap: Bobcats Run Wild in 66-27 Win

Final · Colorado State Rams at Texas State Bobcats
Texas St 66, Colorado St 27
Board plays on this game
2 of 2 hit.

Texas State ran over Colorado State 66-27 on Thursday night. The Bobcats scored touchdowns on three straight first-quarter drives to go up 21-0, led 45-21 at halftime and had 66 points by the end of the third quarter. They piled up 716 total yards, 503 of them on the ground. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Texas State ML (-650 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Texas State was a 14.5-point home favorite, Colorado State's defense was allowing 38.6 points a game (125th), and numberFire gave the Bobcats an 85.8% win chance.
  • What happened: The game was settled early. Texas State's first touchdown drive covered 69 yards in five plays, the next took two plays, and the lead was 28-0 early in the second quarter. The final margin was 39 points.
  • Worth watching: A moneyline at this price carries little return on its own, which is why it usually works best as a building block rather than a standalone bet. Colorado State's defense gave up 503 rushing yards here, so this matchup profile is worth noting when the Rams face another run-heavy team.
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Brad Jackson 175+ passing yards (-440 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Jackson had 175+ passing yards in 4 of 5 games and 8 of his last 10, with a main line of 263.5, against a defense allowing 38.6 points a game.
  • What happened: He went 14/19 through the air for 213 yards with one touchdown, a 22-yard strike to Ty Stamey, and no interceptions. That cleared the 175-yard mark by 38. He did plenty of damage with his legs too: 13 carries, 181 rushing yards and three short rushing touchdowns, with a long run of 63.
  • Worth watching: He got there on just 19 attempts. Texas State ran the ball 55 times and Torrance Burgess Jr. went for 224 yards, so in blowouts the passing volume can dry up. A lower alt line like this one gives room for that; the main line is a tougher ask when the run game is rolling.

How the game played out

Colorado State moved the ball better than the score suggests. K'saan Farrar threw for 289 yards and two touchdowns, the Rams had 437 total yards and no turnovers, and they held the ball for 30:36. But they were 4-15 on third down and four drives ended on downs. Texas State scored nine touchdowns and a field goal, all before the fourth quarter.

Trends to watch

  • Burgess carried 24 times for 224 yards and four touchdowns. That workload makes his rushing props worth a look in matchups like this.
  • Jackson's legs are part of the plan: 13 carries in this game. Rushing yardage can be a second angle on him when his passing line looks too high.
  • Colorado State allowed 503 rushing yards on 55 attempts. Opposing backs deserve a look against this defense.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn how moneylines and player props work, or head to the college football hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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