Duke vs Virginia Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 23)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: Duke Blue Devils 19, Virginia Cavaliers 16 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in Duke vs Virginia?
Final on Oct 23, 2026: Duke 19, Virginia 16. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Nate Sheppard (1+ receptions: 2), Jekail Middlebrook (30+ rush yds: 117), Jekail Middlebrook (1+ receptions: 2). Fell short: Nate Sheppard (80+ rush yds: 55).
Game script
Duke beat Virginia 19-16, a 3-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
Duke Blue Devils player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate SheppardRB | 80+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 125.2 | 8 of 10 | 55 | Missed |
| Nate Sheppard | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.1 | 10 of 10 | 2 | Held |
Virginia Cavaliers player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jekail MiddlebrookRB | 30+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 62.7 | 8 of 10 | 117 | Held |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 1.8 | 8 of 10 | 2 | Held |
Player by player
Nate Sheppard finished with 55 rushing yards, 25 short of 80+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Nate Sheppard finished with 2 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Nate Sheppard's last 10 showed 80+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 1+ receptions in 10 of 10.
Jekail Middlebrook finished with 117 rushing yards, clearing 30+ rush yds. That hit rate held. Jekail Middlebrook finished with 2 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jekail Middlebrook's last 10 showed 30+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 1+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of Duke vs Virginia on Oct 23, 2026?
Duke Blue Devils 19, Virginia Cavaliers 16 (Final). Duke beat Virginia 19-16, a 3-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.