Florida vs. Missouri Recap: Roberts Runs Wild for 211 Yards

Missouri beat Florida 45-17, and the game turned on the Missouri offense finding a second gear after a slow start. It was 3-3 after one quarter. Austin Simmons then hit Donovan Olugbode for a 47-yard score and Caleb Goodie Sr. for a 31-yard score, and a 50-yard Blake Craig field goal at the horn made it 20-10 at the half. Missouri outscored Florida 25-7 after the break, with Jamal Roberts scoring three times. Missouri finished with 560 total yards to 325 for Florida. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Jamal Roberts 50+ rushing yards (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: With Ahmad Hardy ruled out, Roberts was the lead back. He carried 26 times for 95 yards the week before and had 395 yards on 89 carries on the season. - What happened: Roberts ran 24 times for 211 yards and 3 TDs, clearing the line by 161.5 yards. He scored from 5 yards out early in the third, from 1 yard out to open the fourth, and then broke an 80-yard run on the very next Missouri snap, a one-play drive that made it 45-10. He also caught 3 passes for 29 yards. - Worth watching: The workload was the angle and it held: 24 carries after 26 the week before. As long as he is the clear lead back, a modest rushing number leaves room even on a quiet day.

ALT: Austin Simmons 200+ passing yards (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: Simmons came in with 947 yards and 11 TDs through four games, about 237 a game, and threw for 295 the week before. With Hardy out, we expected the volume to lean to the pass. - What happened: Simmons completed 23 of 30 passes for 340 yards, 2 TDs and no interceptions, clearing the line by 140.5 yards. The two second-quarter strikes to Olugbode and Goodie flipped a 3-3 game, and he added a two-point pass to Cayden Lee in the fourth. - Worth watching: His season average already sat well above 200, and he hit 11.3 yards per attempt here. A low alt line on a passer this efficient is worth a look, though the juice on these lines is steep.

ALT: Cayden Lee 50+ receiving yards (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: Lee had 412 yards in four games and had 11 catches for 156 yards and 2 TDs the week before. With Hardy out, we expected the ball to run through him. - What happened: Lee caught 8 passes for 110 yards with a long of 29, clearing the line by 60.5 yards. He led Missouri in catches and receiving yards and caught the two-point try after Roberts' 1-yard score. - Worth watching: He led the team in catches even with the ground game rolling. Volume like that is what makes a 50-yard line comfortable.

How the game played out

Florida opened with a 15-play, 73-yard drive for a field goal and tied it 10-10 on Aaron Philo's 12-yard pass to Dallas Wilson. After that, Florida punted on every drive until a late 94-yard touchdown drive that ended in Tramell Jones Jr.'s 42-yard pass to TJ Abrams. Florida ran for 42 yards on 25 attempts, while Missouri ran for 220 on 36.

Trends to watch

• Roberts accounted for 211 of Missouri's 220 rushing yards. He is carrying almost the whole ground game while Hardy is out.
• Simmons spread the ball: Lee, Olugbode and Goodie combined for 271 receiving yards. The passing game is not tied to one target.
• Missouri was 7 of 13 on third down and did not turn it over, which kept drives alive for all three of these players.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these markets? Read up on the alt line and the player prop, or see more at the college football hub.