Hawai'i vs. Arizona St Recap: Boley, Harris and the Totals Cash
Arizona State beat Hawai'i 30-12. ASU led 17-6 at halftime, then Cardae Mack broke a 67-yard touchdown run late in the third. Hawai'i answered with a 32-yard Micah Alejado touchdown pass to Audric Harris, and Reed Harris closed the scoring with his second touchdown catch at 1:55 of the fourth. ASU ran for 231 yards, while Hawai'i threw for 252. Eighteen DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, all posted pregame.
What cashed
Arizona State ML (-1800 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: ASU was a 21-point home favorite against a pass defense ranked 92nd. - What happened: ASU led from 8:13 of the first quarter on and won by 18. - Worth watching: At this price it is a parlay leg, not a standalone bet.
ALT: Arizona State -13.5: CASHED - Our read: ASU was -21 with a 36-14 projection, so the alt bought 7.5 points of cushion. - What happened: Won by 18, 4.5 clear, but ASU led by 12 until Reed Harris scored with 1:55 left. - Worth watching: It needed a late score, so size alt spreads with that in mind.
ALT: Hawaii +27.5: CASHED - Our read: Hawai'i's four losses came by 10, 15, 17 and 4, and ASU had been outscored 44-10 in fourth quarters. - What happened: Lost by 18, 9.5 inside the number; ASU's biggest lead was 18. - Worth watching: Paired with ASU -13.5, any ASU win by 14 to 27 cashed both.
ALT: Under 60.5 total points: CASHED - Our read: Hawai'i averaged 17.6 points, so this needed both teams well past their norms. - What happened: 42 combined, 18.5 under; Hawai'i punted five times. - Worth watching: Alt unders well above the main total suit low-scoring sides.
ALT: Over 40.5 total points: CASHED - Our read: 8 of ASU's last 10 games cleared 41, and Hawai'i does its scoring late. - What happened: 42 points, 1.5 over, with 12 coming in the fourth quarter. - Worth watching: The two total alts sat 9 above and 11 below the main 51.5, and both cashed.
ALT: Arizona State over 27.5 team total points: CASHED - Our read: The market implied about 36 for ASU, which averaged 33.3 while Hawai'i allowed 24.8. - What happened: ASU scored 30, 2.5 over, with Reed Harris's late touchdown getting it there. - Worth watching: ASU converted 3 of 10 third downs and leaned on big runs.
ALT: Hawaii over 8.5 team total points: CASHED - Our read: Hawai'i had cleared 8.5 in 4 of 5 games and ASU allowed 31.8 a game. - What happened: Hawai'i scored 12, 3.5 over, on two field goals and a fourth-quarter touchdown. - Worth watching: The late touchdown fit the pattern in our read.
Cutter Boley 1+ passing TDs: CASHED - Our read: Boley had a TD pass in 9 of his last 10, and Hawai'i allowed 226 passing yards a game. - What happened: Two TD passes, both to Reed Harris, from 18 and 9 yards. - Worth watching: Harris caught every Boley touchdown, so the two pair naturally.
Cutter Boley 175+ passing yards: CASHED - Our read: He averages 260 against a main line of 228, so 175+ left room for an early exit. - What happened: 189 yards on 21 of 31 passing, 14.5 over. - Worth watching: With ASU running for 231 yards, he threw only 31 times; the alt left room for that.
Cutter Boley 13+ completions: CASHED - Our read: He averaged 19.5 completions; the risk was rest in a blowout. At 64 confidence, a long shot that landed. - What happened: 21 completions, 8.5 clear, including the 9-yard touchdown with 1:55 left. - Worth watching: No other ASU quarterback threw a pass, so the rest risk never showed up.
Micah Alejado 33+ pass attempts: CASHED - Our read: He had 43 attempts a game, and a 21-point underdog should throw late. - What happened: 49 attempts, 16.5 over. - Worth watching: Attempts props on big pass-first underdogs are worth another look.
Micah Alejado 20+ completions: CASHED - Our read: He had 20+ in 4 of 5 games, and Hawai'i throws on about 67% of snaps. - What happened: 25 completions, 5.5 over. - Worth watching: Volume carried it, since he completed about half his throws.
Micah Alejado 225+ passing yards: CASHED - Our read: He averages 272 and threw for 338 last week. - What happened: 252 yards, 27.5 over. - Worth watching: At 5.1 yards per attempt, his yardage leaned on volume.
Micah Alejado 250+ passing yards: CASHED - Our read: He cleared 250 in 7 of his last 10. - What happened: 252 yards, 2.5 over. - Worth watching: Thin; the 225 alt gave far more cushion on the same read.
Reed Harris 3+ receptions: CASHED - Our read: ASU's top target had 26 catches in 4 games and no injury listing. - What happened: 8 catches for 91 yards and 2 touchdowns, 5.5 over. - Worth watching: He caught 8 of Boley's 21 completions, a share that keeps low alts in play.
Reed Harris 60+ receiving yards: CASHED - Our read: He averaged about 125 yards and is Boley's first read. - What happened: 91 yards, 31.5 over. - Worth watching: He cleared easily in a run-heavy game.
Kainoa Carvalho 3+ receptions: CASHED - Our read: Hawai'i's receiving-yards leader had 22 catches in 5 games. - What happened: 7 catches for 86 yards, 4.5 over. - Worth watching: He tied for the team lead in catches.
Kainoa Carvalho 20+ longest reception: CASHED - Our read: He had a 20+ catch in 4 of 5 games, and Hawai'i needed chunk plays. - What happened: His long was 25, 5 yards past the mark. - Worth watching: That makes 5 of 6 games with a 20+ catch.
How the game played out
Mack had 13 carries for 154 yards and 2 touchdowns, and his 67-yarder capped a 96-yard drive. Hawai'i held the ball for 31:17 but converted 7 of 19 third downs.
Trends to watch
- Alejado threw 49 times. As a big underdog, his attempts and completions are the workload to track.
- Reed Harris caught both Boley touchdowns and 8 of his 21 completions.
- ASU ran for 231 yards on 30 carries; Mack's rushing yards are worth a look.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. Read up on the alt line and the player prop, or visit our college football hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.