Iowa State vs. BYU Recap: Bachmeier Leads BYU, 15 Plays Cash
BYU beat Iowa State 24-10 in Provo on Friday night. Journee Tonga's 6-yard run opened the scoring, Bear Bachmeier hit Kyler Kasper for a 5-yard touchdown with 1:51 left in the half for a 14-3 lead, and a 75-yard strike to Legend Glasker late in the 3rd made it 21-3. BYU outgained Iowa State 506 yards to 200, and the Cyclones converted 2 of 13 third downs. Fifteen DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
BYU ML (-470 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: BYU allowed 14.3 points and 2.7 yards a carry, and Iowa State had converted only 20 of 58 third downs. - What happened: A 14-point win. Iowa State's first touchdown came in the 4th. - Worth watching: At this price, the moneyline is mostly a parlay piece.
ALT: BYU -3.5 (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: BYU was 4-0 and had covered every game, and buying seven points gave cushion for the running back injuries. - What happened: Won by 14, covering by 10.5. - Worth watching: The bought points were not needed this time.
ALT: BYU -6.5 (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: BYU had won by 7 or more in 4 straight and 7 of its last 8 at home. - What happened: Won by 14, covering by 7.5. Matthias Dunn's 38-yard field goal with 1:51 left put it away. - Worth watching: That is 5 straight wins by 7 or more for BYU.
ALT: Iowa State +18.5 (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: BYU was missing two running backs and a linebacker, and none of its four wins over FBS teams came by more than 18. - What happened: Iowa State lost by 14, covering by 4.5. - Worth watching: BYU's margins have stayed in a range.
ALT: Under 53.5 total points (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: The total dropped from 49.5 to 46.5 with BYU's top running backs out, leaving 7 points of cushion over the main line. - What happened: 34 total points, 19.5 under. - Worth watching: BYU's defense against a slow Cyclones attack keeps unders in play.
Bear Bachmeier 1+ passing TDs (alt, worth it at -250 or better): CASHED - Our read: He had six passing TDs in four games, and more of the offense ran through him with the top two backs out. - What happened: 22 of 30 passing, 329 yards and 2 touchdowns, to Kasper and Glasker. - Worth watching: His passing props deserve a look while the backfield is banged up.
Bear Bachmeier 25+ rushing yards (alt, worth it at -250 or better): CASHED - Our read: With LJ Martin out, he ran 15 times for 66 yards at TCU, and he had 25 or more in 3 of 4 games. - What happened: 9 carries for 109 yards with a long of 39, 84.5 over the line. - Worth watching: He ran for more yards than the rest of BYU combined. His legs are the run game right now.
Legend Glasker 30+ receiving yards (alt, worth it at -250 or better): CASHED - Our read: He was BYU's top-priced receiver at DraftKings (main 48), so the alt gave an 18-yard cushion. - What happened: 5 catches for 99 yards and the 75-yard touchdown, 69.5 over the line. - Worth watching: He is the BYU receiver getting the deep shots.
Kyler Kasper 25+ receiving yards (alt, worth it at -250 or better): CASHED - Our read: The books had him near 44 yards, and the passing game figured to see more snaps with the backs hurt. - What happened: 3 catches for 40 yards and the 5-yard touchdown, 15.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Low catch volume, so lower alt yardage numbers fit his role.
Jaylen Raynor 1+ passing TDs (-174 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Raynor had a touchdown pass in all 5 games this season and 9 of his last 10. - What happened: His 1-yard touchdown pass to Christian Greenlaw early in the 4th was the one Iowa State touchdown. - Worth watching: Now 6 straight games with a TD pass, though this one came late.
Jaylen Raynor under 229.5 passing yards (alt, worth it at -250 or better): CASHED - Our read: He had gone under 229.5 in 4 of 5 games, and Iowa State runs for 197 yards a game. - What happened: 98 passing yards on 29 attempts, 131.5 under the line. - Worth watching: 3.4 yards per attempt. His passing unders have room against this defense.
Jaylen Raynor under 39.5 rushing yards (alt, worth it at -250 or better): CASHED - Our read: He had stayed under 40 in 8 of his last 10 and 6 of 7 road games. - What happened: 9 carries for 14 yards, 25.5 under. - Worth watching: His long run was 10 yards.
Aiden Flora 40+ rushing yards (alt, worth it at -200 or better): CASHED - Our read: Flora had cleared 40 in all 5 games, and this line sat well below his main number. - What happened: 17 carries for 86 yards with a long of 21, 46.5 over the line. - Worth watching: He ran for 86 of Iowa State's 102 rushing yards. He carries this offense.
ALT: Aiden Flora 10+ rush attempts (alt, worth it at -300 or better): CASHED - Our read: 73 carries in five games, about 15 a game, and he is Iowa State's offense. - What happened: 17 carries, 7.5 over the line, even with Iowa State trailing most of the night. - Worth watching: Carries props are a steady way to play him.
Omari Hayes under 50.5 receiving yards (alt, worth it at -300 or better): CASHED - Our read: The books projected about 30 yards, and Iowa State spreads its targets around. - What happened: 3 catches for 18 yards, 32.5 under. - Worth watching: No Iowa State receiver topped 31 yards.
Trends to watch
- Bachmeier's dual role: 329 passing and 109 rushing yards. His rushing props stand out while the backs are out.
- Flora's share: 17 of Iowa State's 27 rushing attempts. His carries and yardage props track that volume.
- Iowa State on third down: 2 of 13. Team total and receiving unders fit a stalled offense.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. Read up on the alt line and player props, or see the college football board.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.