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Iowa vs Michigan Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Sep 26)

Published · Updated · College Football

This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.

Final: Iowa Hawkeyes 20, Michigan Wolverines 19 (Final).

Who cleared their player props in Iowa vs Michigan?

Final on Sep 26, 2026: Iowa 20, Michigan 19. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Tony Diaz (20+ rec yds: 46), Tony Diaz (3+ receptions: 3), JJ Buchanan (40+ rec yds: 130), JJ Buchanan (2+ receptions: 5). Fell short: Kamari Moulton (70+ rush yds: 44).

Game script

Iowa beat Michigan 20-19, a 1-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.

Iowa Hawkeyes player prop results

PlayerLine (last 10 before)Pre-gameActualResult
Kamari MoultonRB70+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 95.39 of 1044Missed
Tony DiazWR20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 70.28 of 1046Held
Tony Diaz3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 6.19 of 103Held

Michigan Wolverines player prop results

PlayerLine (last 10 before)Pre-gameActualResult
JJ BuchananWR40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 61.58 of 10130Held
JJ Buchanan2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 3.210 of 105Held

Player by player

Kamari Moulton finished with 44 rushing yards, 26 short of 70+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Kamari Moulton's last 10 showed 70+ rush yds in 9 of 10.

Tony Diaz finished with 46 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Tony Diaz finished with 3 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Tony Diaz's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 3+ receptions in 9 of 10.

JJ Buchanan finished with 130 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. JJ Buchanan finished with 5 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, JJ Buchanan's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 8 of 10, 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.

What's next

What was the final score of Iowa vs Michigan on Sep 26, 2026?

Iowa Hawkeyes 20, Michigan Wolverines 19 (Final). Iowa beat Michigan 20-19, a 1-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.

What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?

For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.

More College Football player prop results

Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.

Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.