Kansas St vs. Colorado Recap: OT Thriller Clears the Total
Colorado beat Kansas State 27-24 in overtime after the Wildcats forced the extra period late. Blake Barnett hit Garrett Oakley from 8 yards out with 2 seconds left in regulation to tie it 21-21. Kansas State took the first overtime possession and settled for a 25-yard Luis Rodriguez field goal, and Colorado answered with an 11-yard touchdown pass from Isaac Wilson to Charlie Williams to win it. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, and both were on the scoreboard rather than a single player.
What cashed
ALT: Kansas State over 14.5 team points (-430 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Kansas State had scored 15 or more in 9 of its last 10 games, including all 7 this season, and in 6 of its last 7 road games. Colorado had allowed 15 or more in 9 of its last 10. - What happened: Kansas State had 21 points by the end of regulation, clearing 14.5 by 6.5 before overtime even started. Barnett threw all three Wildcat touchdowns: 28 yards to Josh Manning, 33 yards to Linkon Cure and the late 8-yarder to Oakley. He finished 18/28 with 224 passing yards, 3 TDs and no interceptions. The overtime field goal pushed the final to 24. - Worth watching: This was a heavy price, the kind of alt line that works best as a building block rather than a standalone bet. The angle itself, a steady offense against a defense that keeps giving up 15, is one we will keep checking.
ALT: Over 36.5 total points (-400 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Games involving these two teams had cleared 36.5 in 16 of the last 20 and 11 of 14 this season. - What happened: The teams combined for 51 points, 14.5 over the line. Even without overtime, regulation ended with 42 points on the board. Colorado ran for 222 yards on 43 carries, led by Richard Young with 120 yards and two touchdowns, and JaQuail Smith broke a 47-yard touchdown run in the third quarter. - Worth watching: The middle of the game did most of the work: three straight touchdown drives starting late in the third quarter, capped by Colorado's 96-yard march. When both offenses can hit explosive plays, a low alt total gives plenty of room.
How the game played out
The first quarter was mostly punts, and Kansas State missed a field goal early. Colorado lost a fumble at the end of a 68-yard drive in the second quarter, and Kansas State turned that into an 11-play, 80-yard touchdown drive. Kansas State finished with zero turnovers but missed two field goals, which kept Colorado in it until the overtime finish.
Trends to watch
- Richard Young's 24 carries for 120 yards show where Colorado's offense runs through. His rushing props deserve a look when the matchup is right.
- Barnett spread his touchdowns across three different receivers, so Kansas State passing-TD props fit better than any single receiver's touchdown.
- Both teams converted 7 third downs. Totals involving these offenses keep getting help from sustained drives.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about totals and alt lines, or see the CFB hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.