DARIMARKET
CFB · Game recap · Sat, Nov 7

Louisville vs. Georgia Tech Recap: Haynes and Brown Clear 50+ Rushing

Final · Louisville Cardinals at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Louisville 44, Georgia Tech 17
Board plays on this game
2 of 3 hit. We post the misses too.

Louisville won at Georgia Tech 44-17, and most of the damage came in the first half. Carson Hilbert opened the scoring with a 42-yard field goal, and Lincoln Kienholz threw touchdown passes to Tre Richardson and TreyShun Hurry to build a 17-3 lead. Richardson then broke a 52-yard touchdown run on his only carry, and Hilbert's second field goal made it 27-3 before Georgia Tech scored with 10 seconds left in the half. Louisville ran for 251 yards on 36 carries and held Georgia Tech to 109 rushing yards. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, one on each side.

What cashed

ALT: Justice Haynes 50+ rushing yards (-158 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Haynes had cleared 50+ rushing yards in 9 of his last 10 games and 13 of his last 14. The best price of -158 implied about 61%, and his recent run put him near 85%. - What happened: Haynes ran 12 times for 87 yards, a 7.3-yard average with a long of 33. That was 37.5 yards past the line, and it came on a night the rest of the Georgia Tech rushing attack managed 22 yards on 20 carries. - Worth watching: Haynes got there on efficiency even with a modest carry count while Georgia Tech trailed for most of the night. A back who clears 50 on 12 carries keeps this angle alive when the price stays near -158.

ALT: Keyjuan Brown 50+ rushing yards (-154 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Brown had cleared 50+ rushing yards in 8 of his last 10 games and 10 of his last 16. The best price of -154 implied about 61%, and his recent run put him near 68%. - What happened: Brown ran 9 times for 54 yards, 6.0 per carry with a long of 14. This one was close: 4.5 yards past the line. He also caught 2 passes for 6 yards and returned a kickoff 14 yards. - Worth watching: Louisville spread its rushing yards around, with Kienholz at 81, Brown at 54 and Richardson at 52. Shared work can keep a 50+ line close, as it did here, so price matters.

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How the game played out

Georgia Tech moved the ball at times but could not finish. The Yellow Jackets converted 4 of 17 third downs and 3 of 7 fourth downs, and 4 of their drives ended on downs. Their best drive went 98 yards in the fourth quarter for a Chris Corbo touchdown catch, but Louisville answered with a Braxton Jennings 2-yard run to close it. Kienholz completed 17 of 25 passes for 182 yards and 2 touchdowns, and Hurry caught 8 passes for 104 yards. Hilbert made all 3 field goals and all 5 extra points for 14 points.

Trends to watch

  • Haynes' efficiency: 87 of Georgia Tech's 109 rushing yards came from him.
  • Kienholz as a runner: 9 carries for 81 yards on top of his passing line.
  • Hurry's volume: 8 catches and 104 yards, the most on either team.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn how an alt line works and what implied probability means, or check the CFB hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

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Free. Hit rates show past results, not a prediction. 21+.

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